Caleb Wilfinger
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The NBA season is nearing its home stretch, and we should have more thrilling action on Tuesday. The highlight is in Sacramento, where the Kings take on the Celtics. We’ll be focusing on that game in this NBA mega parlay, as well as another two matchups that should feature plenty of excitement.
Head over to our NBA predictions for picks on the spread and total for every game on the board, but for now, let’s jump into our NBA mega parlay for Tuesday.
Kings ML (+155)
Cavs -1.5 (-110)
Thunder +7.5 (-115)
NBA mega parlay odds: +810
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Sacramento Kings ML (+155) over Boston Celtics
Despite a litany of evidence to suggest otherwise, the betting market continues to undervalue the Sacramento Kings. While they’ve garnered more respect as the season has gone on, there still is an inefficiency with how they’re being priced in games against teams that are thought of to be NBA title contenders. Nothing illustrates this point more than a game against the reeling Boston Celtics for which the Kings are catching 4 points at home.
Sacramento is a dominant offense, sitting 1st in offensive rating this season and scoring against any defense at a dominant clip. This is the second game of a back-to-back, but the Kings are 2nd in true shooting and effective field-goal percentage on the year, which should carry over into this game against a Celtics defense that has been struggling post the All-Star break. With Boston in the midst of a difficult stretch and Sacramento having won 8 of its last 10 games, it’s hard not to like the Kings as a home underdog in a spot you know they’ll get up for.
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Cleveland Cavaliers -1.5 (-110) over Brooklyn Nets
For the second leg of our mega parlay, we’re going with the Cavaliers to knock off the Nets in Brooklyn. This isn’t the greatest spot for Cleveland situationally, as the Nets have dropped 3 straight heading into this matchup. However, I feel that this is more of a regression to the mean situation, given that Brooklyn was playing above its head following the trades of Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving.
The Nets are still clearly working through the kinks with how to juggle their rotations, and it has showed in recent games. On the other side, Cleveland is a top-10 offense per most metrics and the Cavaliers also have the best defensive rating in the league by a considerable margin. Given that Brooklyn is dead last in defensive rebounding rate and 29th in offensive rebounding rate this season, I think we’re getting a bit of value on Cleveland as a short favorite. As long as Evan Mobley and Jarrett Allen are able to feast on the glass, I like the Cavs’ chances to win convincingly.
Oklahoma City Thunder +7.5 (-115) vs Los Angeles Clippers
Over the last few weeks, the Clippers are back to playing rock-solid basketball after a period when they were clearly struggling. While it’s hard to go against Kawhi Leonard when he’s having his best stretch of play this season, Los Angeles has not traditionally done well laying big numbers at home. Furthermore, the Thunder are simply playing too well to not have earned more respect. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is having one of the best seasons of any guard in the Association, and he should get his once again on Tuesday. Los Angeles is 20th in offensive rating and 12th in defensive rating, so the Clippers’ performance can fluctuate on a nightly basis. The Thunder enter this game boasting a top-10 defense and a top-15 offense, so I’ll ride with the balance of Oklahoma City to keep things close.
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