Filip Tomic
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Another highly intense game is expected between the Toronto Raptors and Milwaukee Bucks as they clash for only the 2nd time this regular season. Catch the game live at 7.30 pm ET on TNT, and also continue reading below to see my Same Game Parlay.
Check out our NBA Predictions page for picks on the side and total for all of Tuesday’s 4-game slate. Let’s dive into my SGP now!
Under 224 Total Points (-110)
Jrue Holiday Over 2.5 Made Threes (+132)
Fred VanVleet to Score 20+ Points (+145)
Same Game Parlay odds: +1232
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Under 224 Total Points (-110)
Even with OT the game between these teams earlier in the season, the total fell well short (it felt like a playoff game). That was with all the chaos and easy buckets that Giannis creates too. When playing with no rest, the Bucks have played dramatically slower, just 1 over in 5 games so far this season. Yesterday they lit up the Pacers for almost 140 points but they are going to find solving the Raptors defense a little more challenging, they always do. When Toronto is playing with out rest they are just 2-4 O/U this season. Looking at head-to-head meetings the last 10 of 12 have all finished under the total, while just 213.3 points per game have been averaged over the last 10 meetings. Toronto scores less on the road too so the under looks like the smart play this evening, even if Giannis makes a surprise appearance.
Check out our Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks Predictions
Jrue Holiday Over 2.5 Made Threes (+132)
It’s never good news when your best player is bothered by a knee injury. Giannis Antetokounmpo has missed the last 3 Bucks games, but he’s expected to be ready to play tonight. As a result of his injury, we might see a bit more conservative approach from him offensively, so just like in the previous 3 games, a lot more will be expected from Jrue Holiday and the rest of the Bucks on that end.
Holiday just had one of his best offensive performances of the season carrying the Bucks to a victory over the Indiana Pacers last night with 35 points, while also making 5 of 8 threes. He’s been knocking them down consistently for the past 2 months now, averaging 44.4% made threes in January and 42.2% in December. His production from the perimeter has also improved from 2.7 to 2.9 per game and against a fairly mediocre Raptors three-point defense, he should be able to get to his standard numbers. Holiday has cleared this line in 5 of his last 6, while in his last 2 games against Toronto he’s knocked down 4 and 3 threes while shooting 50% or better in those games.
Today’s NBA Mega Parlay pays out at +866 odds!
Fred VanVleet to Score 20+ Points (+145)
With Holiday focused more on the offensive end, that’ll give a better chance to Fred VanVleet to shine here. He just put up 33 points on the Knicks at Madison Square Garden last night in overtime, that will definitely be a confidence booster before tonight’s game. He had one of his best games of the year against Milwaukee in the first meeting of the season scoring 28 points and dishing out 12 assists. With Pascal Siakam struggling shooting the ball right now, Toronto will rely on him a bit more than usual on offense. The Bucks defense on the perimeter has been far from great lately, they’ve allowed an average of 40.6% of made threes in their last 3 games. With the speed advantage over his main defender Holiday, I think VanVleet will be able to follow up last night’s big performance with another one here.
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