Welcome to another terrific Thursday in the NBA. We are limited to just a 3-game slate tonight which leaves us with limited options to watch and bet on, but I’ve identified 3 edges that make up today’s mega parlay. I’m looking to win back-to-back NBA mega parlays as I cashed my last +701 mega parlay, so let’s keep it rolling for tonight!
Here is a look at today’s mega parlay.
Heat alternate spread -9.5 (+136)
Rockets alternate spread -3.5 (+118)
Nuggets 1Q alternate spread -1.5 (+126)
Parlay odds: +1073
For this 3-team parlay we are going with 3 alternate spreads – 1 in the first quarter. Let’s break down each of the 3 legs.
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Miami Heat -9.5 (+136) over Los Angeles Clippers
These two teams continue to have the longest injury reports each day. For handicapping purposes, it’s annoying, but I also think I can find some value in it. The Clippers are on the second leg of a back-to-back as they just lost in overtime to the Magic last night, and both Kawhi Leonard and Paul George played 30 minutes or more. That means Leonard is unlikely to play, and a few other Los Angeles players have the questionable tag. The Clippers used a 9-man rotation in last night’s loss which means each player played at least 15 minutes, so there is a real chance we see fatigued legs from Los Angeles tonight. Miami also has several players with the questionable tag, including Jimmy Butler, but they expect to have Tyler Herro, Victor Oladipo, Max Strus and more back in the lineup. I’ll take an alternate spread since I see the Heat winning big tonight.
Be sure to read our full Los Angeles Clippers vs Miami Heat predictions
Houston Rockets -3.5 (+118) over San Antonio Spurs
The Spurs are a sinking ship – and it’s only December. They have lost 11 games in a row, 16 of their last 17, and have failed to cover the spread in 9 consecutive games. In their last 11 games, they rank 30th in defensive rating, offensive rating, EFG%, and TS%. And to make matters worse, they are expected to be without their leading scorer, Devin Vassell. That’s a major blow for the Spurs, who are already missing their starting center Jacob Poeltl, so it’s bad news bears in San Antonio right now. The Rockets have not been the best team in the league by any means, but they have a healthier lineup filled with younger players that can pounce on this miserable squad that is the Spurs. I’ll take an alternate spread because I have no faith in the Spurs to keep it close.
Denver Nuggets 1Q -1.5 (+126) over Portland Trail Blazers
The Nuggets have been elite in the first quarter this season. They rank 2nd in net rating, 1st in EFG%, and 1st in TS% in the first quarter. Their success at the beginning of the game has come away from home too as they average the 2nd most points and have the 4th best margin in the first quarter on the road this season. They will be without Michael Porter Jr. which is a tough loss because of his presence on the perimeter, but the size of Denver should use its advantage over the smaller Portland lineup. The Trail Blazers recently got Damian Lillard back into their lineup which will help their offensive production, but they average the 8th fewest first-quarter points at home, so Denver has the opportunity to strike quickly.
Be sure to read our full Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers predictions
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