Filip Tomic
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What a day the basketball gods have in store for us in the NBA Playoffs today. We have 2 teams trying to come back from a 2-0 deficit and a series tied at 1-1, which should make for an exciting day of Game 3s.
I’d also encourage you to head over to our NBA predictions for picks on the spread and total for all 3games, but let’s not waste any more time and jump straight into my mega parlay!
Over 209 points in 76ers vs Nets (-110)
Golden State Warriors -5.5 (-108)
LA Clippers 1-10 win margin (+210)
Parlay odds: +1039
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Over 209 points in 76ers vs Nets (-110)
The total for this game looks too low at just 209.5 points. That number was exceeded fairly easily in 3 of the teams’ 4 regular-season games and in the series opener when they combined for 222 points. Granted, Game 2 ended with neither team clearing the 100-point mark, but I doubt they’ll have another bad shooting night in back-to-back games, especially with the series now moving to Brooklyn. The Nets finished the regular season with the 4th-best assist ratio, which tells us their ball movement should be a lot better than in the first 2 games and lead to more scoring opportunities. The Sixers also played a lot faster on the road than at home during the regular season with 23 of their 41 games going over the total. They finished the year with a 4-1 run on the O/U in their last 5 games, and also had the best offensive rating by far on the road this season at 118.2. With 4 of the last 6 meetings this season going over the total, I think those trends will continue on Thursday night, so I’ll go with the over.
Check out our Philadelphia 76ers vs Brooklyn Nets Same Game Parlay at +408 odds!
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Golden State Warriors -5.5 (-108)
The Kings opened as 7.5-point underdogs, but that number moved down to 5.5 points after Draymond Green’s suspension was announced. Sacramento could be without a big man of their own as Domantas Sabonis is questionable with a rib injury following the incident with Green. Losing Green will be a big blow for Golden State, but they can’t dwell too much on that. Going smaller most likely means Jordan Poole gets inserted into the lineup, and if that happens the Warriors will look to run. Nobody flourishes more in that environment than Steph Curry. Going back home should be a confidence-booster for the Warriors, who are on a run of 6 straight wins against the Kings in their own building and capped off the regular season with 12 wins in their last 13 home games. It’s simply a must-win game for Steve Kerr’s men. They’ve been in so many of these games and I think they will hit the Kings with everything they have in Game 3. Give me Steph and co. to cover.
Read our full preview of tonight’s Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors matchup
LA Clippers 1-10 win margin (+210)
It’s a pivotal Game 3 between the Suns and Clippers tonight, with the series lead on the line at crypto.com Arena. You won’t find much separating the teams after the first 2 games and I am of the belief that these next 2 games in LA will be split between them, just like the ones in Phoenix. I have to give a slight edge to the home team, even if the oddsmakers have the Clippers as slight underdogs. They finished the year 23-18 SU at home, which is not all that impressive, but they do have Kawhi Leonard playing for them. He’s won 6 of his last 7 Game 3s in the postseason while scoring 30 or more points in all but one of them. LA will also be encouraged by the uptick in efficiency from Westbrook in Game 2, after he went just 3-for-19 from the field in the series opener. Phoenix has had both Kevin Durant and Devin Booker log over 40 minutes in both games so far, given their injury history I’m not sure how long they can keep doing that while playing effective basketball. I think we’re in for a close one in Game 3, but with the Clippers winning 4 of 6 against Western Conference teams and going 4-2 ATS in their last 6 against Pacific Division opponents I have them squeezing this one out at home.
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