Filip Tomic
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For the first time in the Stephen Curry era the Warriors find themselves in a 2-0 hole in the NBA Playoffs. Can the defending champions avoid losing their third straight game? You can watch Game 3 from 10:00 pm ET on TNT and my Same Game Parlay is available below.
Don’t forget to head over to our NBA predictions for picks on the side and total for Game 3 of Philadelphia 76ers vs Brooklyn Nets and Phoenix Suns vs LA Clippers too. Let’s dive into my SGP bet now.
Golden State Warriors -5.5 (-108)
Andrew Wiggins to score 20+ points (+115)
Kevin Huerter 2+ made threes (-340)
Kevon Looney to record 10+ rebounds (-240)
Same Game Parlay odds: +599
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Golden State Warriors -5.5 (-108)
The Kings opened as 7.5-point underdogs, but that number moved down to 5.5 points after Draymond Green’s suspension was announced. Sacramento could be without a big man of their own as Domantas Sabonis is questionable with a rib injury following the incident with Green. Losing Green will be a big blow for Golden State, but they can’t dwell too much on that. Going smaller most likely means Jordan Poole gets inserted into the lineup, and if that happens the Warriors will look to run. Nobody flourishes more in that environment than Curry. Going back home should be a confidence-booster for the Warriors, who are on a run of 6 straight wins against the Kings in their own building and capped off the regular season with 12 wins in their last 13 home games. It’s simply a must-win game for Steve Kerr’s men. They’ve been in so many of these games and I think they will hit the Kings with everything they have in Game 3. Give me Steph and co. to cover.
Be sure to check out our full Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors predictions
Andrew Wiggins to score 20+ points (+115)
Andrew Wiggins has shown really encouraging signs in the first 2 games of this series, scoring 17 and 22 points on the road on solid efficiency. His 3-point shot has been off a little bit, but that’s normal for a player who didn’t touch a basketball for almost 2 months. A strong performance from him will be essential for a Warriors win tonight, just like it has been throughout the regular season. Wiggins scores 19.8 points per game in wins, while in losses that number is just 14.3 points. Sacramento has been one of his favorite opponents, counting the regular season and the first 2 games of this series he has now scored at least 20 points in 5 of the last 6 games against them. Carried by a packed Chase Center, I’m sure Wiggins will be able to score 20 points in his first game in front of the home fans since mid-February.
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Kevin Huerter 2+ made threes (-340)
Although he averages 5 fewer points in road games this season, Kevin Huerter still makes 2.2 threes per game in those games on 35% efficiency. Unlike Wiggins, his production actually goes up in losses compared to wins, which is a bit unusual for a role player. He averages 2.8 threes when his team loses on almost 39% efficiency. Game 3 will be vastly different from the first 2 played at Golden 1 Center, but Huerter has only one task when he touches the floor and that is to shoot as many shots as possible. Sacramento has relied heavily on Malik Monk so far in this series, but despite that Huerter delivered 15 points and 2 threes in Game 2. That was the 11th time in 13 games overall he has cleared this line. Against Golden State he has now done it 6 times in the last 7 meetings, so it should be a relatively easy task for him in this game as well.
Kevon Looney to record 10+ rebounds (-240)
To cap off this SGP we have Kevon Looney collecting double-digit rebounds. The absence of Draymond Green is the biggest reason why I have this bet in here, but even with him in the lineup Looney has produced 9 and 7 rebounds in the first 2 games. That should go up to 10 in front of the home fans. Golden State isn’t all that deep in the center position so I expect Looney to play 30+ minutes. He has collected at least 10 boards in his last 3 regular-season meetings against the Kings while playing under 30 minutes in each of those games. We shouldn’t also dismiss the fact that Domantas Sabonis has a chest contusion which could limit his mobility, and he will be the main guy Looney will go up against on the boards. The Kings finished the regular season in a mediocre 15th place on the road in opponent rebounds per game, allowing 51.6 of them a night. I’m confident Looney can grab at least 10.
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