Filip Tomic
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This has been the most entertaining first-round series in the NBA Playoffs by far. In Game 4 my +637 odds Same Game Parlay cashed and I was able to follow it up with a +491 odds Same Game Parlay winner in Game 5 on Wednesday, so why not go for a third consecutive winner tonight in Game 6?
Tip-off is scheduled for 8:00 pm ET on ESPN. Don’t forget to also head over to our NBA predictions for picks on the side and total for Game 6 of Memphis Grizzlies vs LA Lakers too. Let’s dive into my SGP bet now.
Sacramento Kings +9.5 alternate spread (-148)
Andrew Wiggins to score 15+ points (-270)
De’Aaron Fox to record +8 assists (+175)
Same Game Parlay odds: +456
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Sacramento Kings +9.5 alternate spread (-148)
Elimination games in the playoffs are the toughest ones to win, and we have already seen that a couple of times in this postseason. With their season on the line, I’m expecting to see the best of the Kings tonight. Only 1 of the 5 games in this series has been decided by a double-digit margin, while the last one at Chase Center was decided by just 1 point. Despite losing both games on the road, the Kings have been competitive in their visits to Chase Center, covering the spread in 12 of their last 15 games there, while in the last 23 head-to-head meetings they’re 16-7 ATS. The defending champions are the betting favorites, but this type of game tends to be very competitive and I would be shocked if they won this one in a blowout. Yes, the Kings’ best player is dealing with a broken finger, but let us not forget that this team had the best road record in the Western Conference this season. I’m not sure if they can push it to a Game 7 on Sunday, but I’m confident they can keep things close and cover the spread.
Andrew Wiggins to score 15+ points (-270)
Andrew Wiggins was part of my SGP bet for Game 5 as I had him to knock down a couple of threes and he fully delivered, going 2-for-5 from deep and scoring 20 points. After a shaky start to the series in which he went just 3-for-16 combined from deep, his three-point shot has now stabilized and Wiggins has been the consistent third option Golden State can rely on. His lowest points total for the series is 17, which he scored in Game 1, even that number is impressive considering that was his first NBA game since mid-February. The long layoff hasn’t left as much of a mark on him as some Warriors fans feared. I think he should be able to get 20 points tonight, but let’s play it a bit safer and have him score 15 for the 9th time in his last 10 games.
Check out my Memphis Grizzlies vs LA Lakers Same Game Parlay at +539 odds!
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De’Aaron Fox to record +8 assists (+175)
I mentioned the broken index finger De’Aaron Fox is dealing with, and he was able to play through the pain in Game 5, finishing with a respectable 24 points and 9 assists. His shooting was a bit off, though, as he converted on just 36% of attempts from the field and just 3 of 10 shots from distance. However, he was able to get his teammates involved, getting 9 dimes for the third time in 4 games. The 24 points tied his season low for the series which he also had in Game 2, so it’s pretty clear that the Kings cannot win by relying on him to carry the offense any more. Both Domantas Sabonis and Malik Monk went for 20+ on Wednesday, and it is very likely that will be the strategy for Game 6 as well. When you have a broken finger in your shooting hand your shot is clearly affected, but when it comes to assist you can sometimes use your off hand to go around the injury. During the regular season he got 8 assists a total of 24 times and the Kings went 19-5 SU in those games. The math is pretty simple, if Fox has 8+ assists the Kings will have a chance to win.
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