Filip Tomic
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It’s the 3rd meeting of the regular season between the Warriors and Suns, as they meet up at Chase Center tonight. Tipoff is at 10:00 pm ET on TNT and I have prepared a Same Game Parlay, which you can find below.
We have picks on the side and total for all 7 games tonight on our NBA predictions page, so be sure to check them out.
Let’s dive in!
Suns Under 108.5 team total (-108)
Kevon Looney to record 12+ rebounds (+175)
Draymond Green to record 6+ assists (-170)
Same Game Parlay odds: +585
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Suns Under 108.5 team total (-108)
It’s been really painful to watch these Suns over the past several weeks. They are falling apart right in front of our eyes and there’s not much they can do about it, either. The list of injuries is quite long at the moment: Chris Paul, Cameron Payne, Cameron Johnson, Devin Booker and Jae Crowder are all out, while Landry Shamet, Torrey Craig and Deandre Ayton are all questionable. That’s around 90 points worth of players on the injury report, and those absences reflect on their recent scores. Phoenix has failed to score 100 points in 4 consecutive games, their highest point total during this current 6-game losing streak was a 104-point night against the Toronto Raptors. They did put up 130+ in the 2 meetings with the Warriors earlier in the season, but they are nowhere near the team that did that back in late October and mid-November. I’d be shocked if they went over the 100-point mark in tonight’s game.
Kevon Looney to record 12+ rebounds (+175)
Looney is averaging 10.8 rebounds per game over his last 10 outings, while playing only 24.4 minutes per game. That kind of production is among the highest rebounds per minute in the league. He has cleared this line in 4 of his last 5 games, plus tonight he’s likely going up against a Phoenix side that will be without Ayton, who is questionable with an injury. The Suns’ offense has been a disaster over their last 4 games, failing to reach the 100-point mark on any occasion, and if that continues tonight we can expect a lot of missed shots — which should result in an increase in rebounding for Looney. Phoenix also has one big weakness and that is allowing opponent offensive rebounds in road games. That number is at 11.5 per game, which ranks 5th worst in the NBA. Looney can take advantage.
Lock in our NBA mega parlay for tonight’s action at +650 odds
Draymond Green to record 6+ assists (-170)
I was debating between backing Green to score 8 points or him to dish out 6 dimes; in the end I settle for the assists for a couple of reasons. First is his consistency in getting assists lately – over his last 10 outings he’s averaging 6.8 assists per game, while against the Suns he’s at 6.5 assists per game in 2 meetings this season. He is the team’s leading assist man and with Stephen Curry still out, he will have the ball a lot more in his hands than he usually does. The Suns are one of his favorite teams when it comes to getting assist numbers, he has cleared this line in 7 of the last 9 meetings. No Booker, Cam Payne and Cam Johnson means less work on the defensive end — which should help Green’s production.
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