Filip Tomic
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The NBA is back with 4 games this Tuesday, two of which we can watch live on TNT. I’m focusing on the 76ers vs Clippers clash, tipping-off at 10 pm ET. I’ve prepared another Same-Game Parlay which you can find below.
We have picks on the side and total for all 4 games on our NBA Predictions page, don’t forget to check those out.
Let’s dive into our SGP!
Philadelphia 76ers 1 – 10 Win Margin (+190)
Joel Embiid 1+ Made Threes (-290)
James Harden to Score 20+ Points (-150)
Same Game Parlay odds: +511
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Philadelphia 76ers 1 – 10 Win Margin (+190)
Philadelphia is currently in midst of a 5-game West coast road trip and things are going smoothly after the two wins by a single point over Utah and the Lakers. The earlier meeting this season with the Clippers was decided by just 5 points, if we go back and look at the last 9 meetings, only one of them was decided by more than 10 points. The Sixers have enjoyed a ton of success winning 8 of the last 11 meetings, plus covering the spread in 11 of the last 14. The Clippers aren’t exactly in top shape at the moment, they did win 2 of 3 games, but one of those wins was against the Houston Rockets. Prior to this they had a streak of 6 losses in a row and the injury situation isn’t looking good at all right now. Paul George is bothered by a hamstring injury, he hasn’t played in 10 days and is questionable for tonight. Joining him on the sidelines will be John Wall and Luke Kennard, so the Clippers depth has taken a big hit here. I think Philly will be too much to handle here. Harden and co. have proven to be really good in the clutch lately, so I’m expecting the Sixers to pull out a close one.
Joel Embiid 1+ Made Threes (-290)
I was really close to backing Embiid to make a couple of threes here, but in the end I settled for just 1 as it gives us a slightly higher chance of landing the bet. The Philly big man has been a problem all year long, since the turn of the new year he’s making 1.4 threes per game and in the 5 games he’s played he’s failed to make one just once, shooting it at 46.7%. In his last 10 games he’s finished without a three just twice, which is another encouraging sign for our bet. The Clippers center Ivica Zubac isn’t mobile enough to stay near Embiid, so I’m expecting him to step out to the perimeter and let it fly. The last time these two teams faced off, Embiid finished with 44 points in just 38 minutes of play. LA has decent perimeter defense this season, but that doesn’t apply when Embiid is going up against them. In 9 career games against the Clippers he’s failed to make a three just once. I think there’s a pretty good chance he continues his streak, which is at 3-games in a row against this team.
Today’s NBA Mega Parlay pays out at +866 odds!
James Harden to Score 20+ Points (-150)
The Beard has cleared this line in 3 games in a row and in 10 of his last 12 games. 2023 has started off really well in terms of efficiency for him, he’s upped his shooting percentage to 47.6% and three-point percentage to 42.6% in January. On top of that he’s making 3.3 threes per game, which has stayed consistent since his comeback from injury at the beginning of December. He’s played a key role in the clutch in both wins over Utah and the Lakers during this road trip, tonight’s game against the Clippers also has the potential to be a close one and Doc Rivers will once again be counting on him. In the first meeting of the season vs LA he scored exactly 20 points, he also dished out an unreal 21 assists in that game. For a guy averaging 22.8 points per game over his last 9 outings, it shouldn’t be too difficult getting to 20 points here, especially without an elite defender like Paul George defending him.
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