Filip Tomic
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The Milwaukee Bucks find themselves in a desperate situation being 2-1 down on the road with the potential of Giannis Antetokounmpo missing yet another game. Can they even things up against a Miami Heat team that’s scored 120+ points in all 3 games of this series so far? I’ve prepared a Bucks vs Heat Same Game Parlay, which you can find below. Last night I landed a +637 odds Kings vs Warriors Same Game Parlay, so I’m hoping to go back-to-back with this one. Don’t forget to check our NBA Predictions page for picks on the side and total for both Monday games. But for now, let’s dive into my Bucks vs Heat Same Game Parlay.
Over 217.5 points (-110)
Jrue Holiday to score 25+ points (+340)
Same Game Parlay odds: +532
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Over 217.5 points (-110)
All 3 games so far in the series have gone over the total quite comfortably, which is a bit surprising considering the Heat are the 29th-ranked team in pace this season. Miami averages only 98 possessions per game, and they’re also 25th in offensive efficiency, but somehow they’ve gone over 120 points in all 3 games so far. That just tells you how much the Bucks depend on Giannis, especially on the defensive end.
The over has now cashed in 6 of 7 Milwaukee road games and in their last 5 overall. For the Heat, this has happened 8 times in their last 10 and in 7 of their last 9 against Eastern Conference opponents. At just 217.5 points, the oddsmakers are continuing to stick with a relatively low projected total. With all the overs I mentioned earlier and the two teams averaging 229 points in their last 10 meetings, I believe backing a fair amount of points is the way to go.
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Jrue Holiday to score 25+ points (+340)
A high-paced game and Jrue Holiday going nuts on offense is the recipe for success in this game for Milwaukee, especially if Giannis Antetokounmpo isn’t available to play. In 11 games without the Greek Freak, Holiday’s point average went up to 22.6 per game compared to 18.6 he averages with Giannis in the lineup. In the Game 2 victory, it was actually Brook Lopez who led the scoring with 25 points, but I don’t believe Milwaukee would be wise to rely on a 35-year-old center who is way past his prime. Khris Middleton is another option they can turn to, but with his injury history this season I’m not too fond of backing him here.
Holiday has had big bursts on offense quite a few times this season, we all remember his 51-point explosion on 20-for-30 from the field in the win over Indiana in late March. I’m not saying he will do something like that tonight, but a 25-point night is to be expected from the veteran point guard. If we count the regular season, he has scored at least 20 points vs Miami in 7 of 13 games since joining the Bucks back in 2020.
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