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Today’s NBA action tips off fairly early at 1:00 pm ET on ABC as the Milwaukee Bucks and Miami Heat clash for the second time in quick succession. The Heat won 108-102 on Thursday, so can Giannis even things out? I’ve prepared a Same Game Parlay which you can find below.
Also visit our NBA predictions for picks on the side and total for what will be an exciting 7-game night this Saturday. Let’s dive in!
Milwaukee Bucks 1-10 win margin (+190)
Giannis Antetokounmpo over 12.5 rebounds (+100)
Jimmy Butler under 20.5 points (-106)
Same Game Parlay odds: +909
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Milwaukee Bucks 1-10 win margin (+190)
I’m expecting a different game today as the Bucks get Giannis Antetokounmpo, Serge Ibaka, Joe Ingles and Grayson Allen back from injuries. Milwaukee has been superior in head-to-head duels, winning 7 of the last 10, and they’ve been able to respond well after defeats lately, covering the spread in 7 of their last 10 after a SU loss. With the Cavaliers lurking behind them for the division title, it’s important for Milwaukee to get back to winning ways as soon as possible here.
This Miami team has a lot of depth, the absence of Tyler Herro, Duncan Robinson and Kyle Lowry almost wasn’t even felt as they took care of the Bucks a couple of days ago. There is one thing that should worry the Heat fans and that is Jimmy Butler. He’s played the Bucks 7 times over the past 3 seasons and is averaging just 14.6 points per game. If that doesn’t improve tonight, I have a hard time believing the Heat can pull off another victory. Giannis returning to the lineup makes all the difference. Bucks are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games, so even if they are still without Khris Middleton, I really like their chances to get revenge on the Heat.
Check out our Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat predictions
Giannis Antetokounmpo over 12.5 rebounds (+100)
Giannis missed the game against Miami the other day due to a knee injury. He was obviously bothered by that way before Thursday’s game as he had just 9 and 7 points in 2 of his last 3 games against Charlotte and Atlanta. Without him the Bucks’ paint was left exposed, Miami outscored them 58-18 in that area, there’s no way that is happening again with a healthy Giannis manning the middle. His rebounding numbers have been solid over the past 8 games despite the knee problem. The Greek Freak is averaging 14.3 boards a night over his last 8 games, and on the road he’s at 13.2 per game in 17 games this season. In his last 7 games he’s collected 18 or more rebounds 4 times, against a Miami team that’s allowing 51.2 boards a night this season he should be able to collect at least 13 and lead his Bucks to another road win.
Jimmy Butler under 20.5 points (-106)
I’ve mentioned Jimmy Butler’s struggles against this team. The main problem with Jimmy is that he isn’t your typical modern NBA star who shoots a lot from 3-point land. In fact he’s is averaging just 16.7% made threes over his last 8 games. He failed to score a three on 2 attempts in Thursday’s game against the Bucks, finishing with just 17 points on 5-for-13 shooting. So far in January he’s shooting only 42% from the field and 21% from three, if Milwaukee is able to limit his production in the paint it could be a long night for him. He’s scored fewer than 20.5 points in 6 of 7 games against this team in the past 3 years, and there is also a solid chance that Tyler Herro comes back tonight which would mean fewer shot opportunities for Butler. He will still find ways to impact the game as Butler is one of the elite two-way players in the league, so even if his shot isn’t falling he can still have a good game for Miami.
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