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Giannis Antetokounmpo is back and now the Bucks have a tough task of overturning a 3-1 deficit against the Miami Heat. Can the Greek Freak outshine Jimmy Butler and extend this series to a Game 6 in Miami? Tip-off is at 9.30 pm ET on NBA TV, I’ve also prepared a Same Game Parlay which you can find below.
For picks on the side and total on Wednesday’s 4-game slate check our NBA Predictions page. Let’s dive into my SGP bet now!
Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 11.5 rebounds (-106)
Bam Adebayo Under 17.5 points (-118)
Brook Lopez Over 1.5 made rhrees (+108)
Same Game Parlay odds: +600
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Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 11.5 rebounds (-106)
Giannis made a triumphant return to the line-up on Monday, at least from an individual stand point. He notched a triple-double of 26 points, 10 boards and 13 assists, but it wasn’t enough as the Heat came back late to take Game 4. With the Bucks now being on the brink of elimination, I’m expecting to see the best out of Giannis. His back might still be bother him a little, we saw him get treatment during the game on Monday, but we’ve seen him play through injuries at the highest level so I don’t think that will be an issue here. Prior to Game 1 of this series he had 2 games in a row of more than 11.5 rebounds vs the Heat, as he gets settled into the series moving forward I’m expecting his numbers to go up. For his career he’s averaging 11.9 boards a game in the playoffs, while last season in 12 games he averaged 14.2 of them. I personally don’t think the Bucks can win tonight’s game without a monster stat line from Giannis.
Read our Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Predictions
Bam Adebayo Under 17.5 points (-118)
After scoring 22 points in the series opener, Adebayo has really cooled off scoring just 18, 12 and 15 over the last 3 games. He has now cleared this point total only three times in his last 10 games if we count the regular season as well. It’s also worth mentioning he suffered a minor hamstring strain in Game 3, since then he has made only 10 of 26 field goal attempts, so the injury is clearly bothering him. He’s officially listed as probable for tonight’s game, but with the Heat’s lack of inside presence they simply don’t have anyone else to play instead of him. Jimmy Butler is the only reason why this team is outperforming it’s regular season production on offense. Against the 4th most efficient defense in the NBA, Adebayo might have a hard time scoring here.
Wednesday’s NBA Mega Parlay has +1006 odds!
Brook Lopez Over 1.5 made threes (+108)
One player that should make the most out of Adebayo’s situation is Bucks center Brook Lopez. He has really stepped up his game in these playoffs, we just saw him score 36 points in the Game 4 loss on Monday. He’s 2nd on the Bucks in scoring, averaging 57.1% of makes from the field and 33.3% from downtown. With the Heat allowing 41.4% of made threes in the last 3 games of this series, I think it’s a no-brainer to back Lopez to drain a couple of shots here. Looking back at the last 2 months of the regular season he was making 37.7% and 45.5% of his threes in March and April, Milwaukee will need him to step up here if they want to avoid elimination.
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