Filip Tomic
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The Boston Celtics have a chance to make history on Monday by becoming the first team ever to win a series after coming back from a 3-0 deficit, something that 150 teams have failed to do. Game 7 between the Celtics and Heat tips off at 8:30 ET on TNT and I’ve prepared a Same Game Parlay which is available below.
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Derrick White 3+ made threes (-113)
Max Strus 2+ made threes (-230)
Jimmy Butler over 5.5 assists (-156)
Bam Adebayo to record 8+ rebounds (-270)
Same Game Parlay odds: +504
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Derrick White 3+ made threes (-113)
Boston’s hero from Game 6 has had a solid series so far shooting the basketball, especially from three-point land where he’s averaging 55.3% of makes through 6 games. White has made 3+ threes in all 6 games, so is one of the most reliable options on offense for Celtics head coach Joe Mazzulla. He played 42 minutes on Saturday and I believe that could happen again tonight as the rotation shortens for Game 7. The Celtics got only 11 points from their bench in Game 6, and with Malcolm Brogdon not being able to suit up they don’t really have a back-up option for White. The 28-year old should get his 10 shots and after seeing him connect on 6 threes in his last game at TD Garden I’m confident he can knock down at least 3 of them tonight.
Read our Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics predictions
Max Strus 2+ made threes (-230)
Another guy who has been hot from deep in this series is Miami’s Max Strus. He has cleared this line 4 times while shooting 34.4%. If we include Round 2 against New York, Strus has scored at least 2 threes in 9 of his last 12 postseason games, which is a big enough sample size to earn our trust for Game 7. Miami really struggled on offense in Game 6, going just 19-for-63 on 2-pointers with their 3 best scorers — Butler, Adebayo and Vincent — all struggling to score. Strus has been a reliable option all season and he was the only starter who didn’t play 40 minutes on Tuesday, so don’t be surprised if head coach Erik Spoelstra uses him more in tonight’s game. Let’s hope Strus can continue his solid shooting streak.
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Jimmy Butler over 5.5 assists (-156)
Jimmy Butler just didn’t look right physically in Game 6. His lift wasn’t there and he wasn’t as dominant as we’re accustomed to seeing on offense. He finished the game shooting just 5-for-21 from the field and although he knocked down some clutch free-throws down the stretch, the Heat just couldn’t hold on. Butler tends to rely on his teammates a lot more when his shot isn’t falling, because of that he finished with a series-high 8 dimes in Saturday’s game. That was the 4th time in 6 games against Boston that he has been able to clear this line, and I doubt Miami can get a win if he tries to score 35+ points without getting his teammates involved. Experience will come into play, and other than Kyle Lowry nobody else in the Heat rotation has more of it than Butler. Expect Strus, Robinson, Gabe Vincent and Bam Adebayo to all be more involved in scoring as Butler plays point guard for Miami tonight.
Bam Adebayo to record 8+ rebounds (-270)
For some odd reason, Bam Adebayo has excelled on the glass way more in road games than home games in this series. At TD Garden he’s averaging 11 rebounds per game, while in Miami that’s down to just 7, so it might not be a bad thing at all for the Heat that Game 7 is being played in Boston. Bam has cleared this line in 4 of the 6 games, after doing so in all 6 meetings with New York in Round 2 and in 4 of the 5 games against Milwaukee in the opening round. That kind of consistency is a huge confidence boost when betting this line. Adebayo also dominated the glass in last season’s Game 7 against Boston in the Conference Finals, finishing with 11 of them in 46 minutes played. He played the same amount of minutes in Game 6 on Saturday and with Miami’s season being on the line, I expect him to leave it all out there. For those who want a odds boost, it might be a good idea to play him to get 10 boards, but I’m going for a slightly safer option.
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