Filip Tomic
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It’s a win-or-go-home scenario today at Golden 1 Center as the Warriors and Kings square off for the privilege of playing the Lakers in the next round. I was just 2 Andrew Wiggins points away from landing my third consecutive Same Game Parlay in this series in Game 6, so I’ve prepared another one for today’s series-decider.
Tip-off is scheduled for 3:30 pm ET on ABC. We also have picks on the side and total for Game 1 of Miami Heat vs New York Knicks in our NBA predictions. Without further ado, let’s jump into my SGP bet now!
Golden State Warriors 1-10 win margin (+195)
Stephen Curry over 5.5 assists (-128)
De’Aaron Fox to score 25+ points (-230)
Same Game Parlay odds: +620
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Golden State Warriors 1-10 win margin (+195)
I’m backing the Warriors to win by 1-10 points in this massive Game 7. Full credit to the Sacramento Kings, they completely earned a trip back home with a decisive win over Golden State on the road on Friday as significant underdogs. However, the pressure of a Game 7 is unlike anything this team has experienced, and I’d expect that to play a factor against arguably the most experienced core group of players in the NBA. Golden State shot just 37% from the field and finished under 100 points at home for just the second time this season. Therefore, we can expect some positive regression in this matchup. There aren’t many players I’d want more than Steph Curry in a game of this magnitude, and I believe that his excellent series will continue. Given how De’Aaron Fox and Malik Monk are playing, I’m expecting this one to be a fight to the finish, but I’ll back the Warriors to win another close game in the playoffs.
Check out our Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings predictions.
Stephen Curry over 5.5 assists (-128)
Steph Curry’s numbers in elimination games are staggering, but with his points line at 32.5 for today’s game, I’m slightly more comfortable backing him to collect 6 assists. He has done so in 10 of 11 games when facing elimination, so he clearly likes to rely on his teammates in these situations. Game 6 was horrendous for Golden State in terms of efficiency, I doubt a team with so much talent will fail like that in consecutive games. Curry has 3 other players averaging double-digit scoring in this series to pass the ball to, and there’s also Draymond Green, who has had 12 and 20 in Games 4 and 5. In 42 regular-season career games Curry is averaging 7.2 assists vs Sacramento, so getting to 6 shouldn’t be an issue.
Sunday’s NBA mega parlay has +725 odds!
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De’Aaron Fox to score 25+ points (-230)
Sacramento’s hopes lie in the hands of their best player, De’Aaron Fox. He was the key factor in their Game 6 win on the road with 26 points and 11 assists, putting questions to bed regarding his broken index finger. He’s averaging 29.3 points per game in the series, while going over this line 6 times in 9 games against Golden State, counting the regular season. At 25 years old and playing in his postseason debut, Fox is making a name for himself against one of the all-time great players in Curry. He has already cemented himself in Kings history just by getting them into the playoffs, but now with a chance to end the Warriors dynasty I’m sure he will play 40+ minutes and put on a show offensively. After the 2nd-best scorer on the team Domantas Sabonis put up just 7 points in Game 6 he has no choice but to do so.
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