For the final game of opening day of the postseason we have the Sacramento Kings hosting the defending champion Golden State Warriors. You can catch the game live from 8:30 pm on ABC, and I’ve prepared a Same Game Parlay which you can find below.
Don’t forget to head over to our NBA predictions for picks on the side and total for all 8 NBA Playoffs games happening this weekend.
Let’s dive into my SGP bet now.
De’Aaron Fox to record 8+ assists (+170)
Draymond Green to record 1+ steals (-290)
Domantas Sabonis over 13.5 rebounds (-108)
Parlay odds: +564
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De’Aaron Fox to record 8+ assists (+170)
Many people expect this to be the highest-scoring and most entertaining first-round series and I certainly believe there’s potential for that to happen. We have the 1st and 2nd-ranked offenses in terms of points per game this season, so it’s likely going to be a run-and-gun style of game in the series opener. Fox has made his mark in the NBA this year, averaging 25 points per game and 6.1 assists in just 33.4 minutes per game. That number is probably going up to the 38-40 minutes range in the postseason which should mean higher averages across the board for him. He’s had at least 8 assists in 3 of his last 5 regular-season games, while against the Warriors he’s done it in 2 of the last 3 meetings. The Warriors defense hasn’t exactly been confidence-inspiring in road games this season, so I don’t see how they contain the #1 offense, at least not in the games at the Golden 1 Center. Look for Fox to get this teammates involved and a high-scoring outcome in tonight’s game.
Read our Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings predictions
Draymond Green to record 1+ steals (-290)
After a rough start to the regular season, Draymond Green has once again put together a solid campaign on the defensive end and is on the shortlist for the Defensive Player of the Year award. He probably won’t win it as Jaren Jackson Jr. and Brook Lopez have a better case, but having Draymond doing Draymond things will be crucial in the Warriors’ quest to defend their title. He finished the regular season averaging just over 1 steal per game, and there’s no doubt in my mind his intensity on the defensive end is going up in the postseason. Along with his minutes, his steals have slightly gone down in last year’s postseason run, but he’s still averaging 1.5 per game in 145 career playoff games. In a game in which we’ll see plenty of action of offense, we just need one loose ball to end up in his hands for our bet to land. I think the chances of that happening are very high.
Check out Saturday’s NBA mega parlay at +1426 odds!
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Domantas Sabonis over 13.5 rebounds (-108)
And finally, I have Domantas Sabonis dominating the boards, just like he did in all 3 regular-season meetings with the Warriors. He has cleared this line in all 3 of those games, averaging 16.7 per game while playing under 30 minutes a night. The Warriors have been plagued by poor rebounding all season, allowing opponents to record 53.1 per game against them. That ranks them only 22nd in the league, with Detroit, San Antonio, Indiana and Charlotte below them. Sabonis capped off the regular season averaging 11.1 boards per game in his final 10 outings, during the postseason I’m expecting his minutes as well as his production to go up. With the Warriors not having a dominant presence on the inside, he should have his way in the series opener.
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