Filip Tomic
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The injury-riddled defending champions continue their road trip in Philadelphia tonight as they take on the red-hot 76ers. Tipoff is set for 7.30 pm ET on ESPN. I have prepared another Same Game Parlay, so continue reading below to see it.
As always, you can find our picks on the side and total for all 10 games this Friday on our NBA predictions page.
Let’s dive in!
Joel Embiid 2+ made threes (+195)
Tobias Harris to score 15+ points (-190)
James Harden to record 10+ assists (-175)
Same Game Parlay odds: +566
Joel Embiid 2+ made threes (+195)
Embiid averages almost 36 points per game at Wells Fargo Center this season and he just went for 53 against the Charlotte Hornets. My main concern here is that if the Sixers blow out the Warriors, Embiid might not play enough minutes to go over his point total — so I think settling for the 3s is a better idea. He has recorded at least 2 shots made from deep twice in his last 3 outings, plus for the month of December he’s making 1.4 threes per game — which is a noticeable improvement compared to previous months.
His efficiency is also through the roof at almost 54%, so if he gets a couple of opportunities here he should be able to make some 3s. The Warriors shoot a lot of them, but they also let opponents do the same. On the road this season they are allowing 40% of 3s to go in; only 3 teams in the entire league have worse numbers than that. So let’s hope the Philly big man is able to take advantage of that.
Tobias Harris to score 15+ points (-190)
On most nights Harris will go under the radar as opposing defenses are mostly focused on how to slow down Embiid, James Harden and Tyrese Maxey. For only the 4th scoring option on the team, he’s producing a really solid stat line this season at 17 points per game on 48% shooting from the field. Over his last 10 games that number is up to 19.4 per game, with his efficiency up to 51% from the field and 41% from three. Some of that is simply getting more shots due to the absence of Harden and Maxey, but Harris has been doing it for years now and his numbers back it up.
He has failed to score 15 points just 4 times in 17 games since the start of November, so there’s little doubt he’ll be able to do so once again here. The Warriors have several wing defenders out of the lineup, which should make his job a lot easier than on most nights.
NBA Friday Mega Parlay has +956 odds!
James Harden to record 10+ assists (-175)
Aside from Embiid dominating, the biggest reason why the 76ers are currently on a 3-game win streak has been the play of Harden. The Beard has recorded 15, 16 and 12 assists against Sacramento, Charlotte and the Lakers. Over his last 7 outings, he has reached double-digits in the assist department 5 times, so he’s slowly regaining the form he showed with the Nets last season.
Golden State is 1 of his favorite opponents; he has recorded 10 or more assists in 6 of his last 7 games against them and with the likes of Andrew Wiggins and Draymond Green not playing tonight, there won’t be a ton of pressure on him once he gets up the court. On the road the Warriors allow 26.8 assists this season; that’s in the bottom 10 in the NBA. There’s no doubt in my mind that Harden is aware of such a stat.
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