Filip Tomic
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The Western Conference 5th seed is on the line tonight at Crypto.com Arena as the Clippers host the Warriors in their 4th and final meeting of the regular season. You can watch the game live from 10:00 pm ET on ESPN, and I’ve prepared a Same Game Parlay.
We will also have picks on the side and total for all 7 Wednesday games, simply visit our NBA predictions to see them. Let’s dive into my SGP bet now!
LA Clippers 1-10 win margin (+175)
Stephen Curry to score 30+ points (+125)
Marcus Morris over 1.5 made threes (+104)
Parlay odds: +1084
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LA Clippers 1-10 win margin (+175)
The Clippers cannot afford to lose tonight’s game as they trail the Warriors 2-1 in the regular-season series, so a loss would give the tiebreaker to Golden State. The defending champions are an outstanding team at home, but the same can’t be said away from the Chase Center. They are much worse on the defensive end on the road, which is a key reason why they are just 7-26 SU. The Clippers are back to playing rock-solid basketball after a period where they were clearly struggling. Los Angeles has not traditionally done well in this rivalry against Golden State, but it’s hard to go against Kawhi Leonard when he’s having his best stretch of play this season. Of the last 7 Warriors losses on the road, 5 have come by double digits. Given that the Clippers favor a slower pace in home games I think tonight’s game will go down to the wire, with the Clippers pulling it out late in front of their home fans.
Our NBA Wednesday mega parlay has +719 odds!
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Stephen Curry to score 30+ points (+125)
Stephen Curry is averaging 31 points per game since returning to the lineup 5 games ago. He’s doing so while shooting an impressive 51% from the field, 50% from three and 91% from the free-throw line. Against the Clippers he has done well in recent head-to-head meetings, clearing this line 4 times in the last 5 games played, while for his career he’s averaging 25 points per game in 46 games played. Those are all compelling numbers, the question is will they continue tonight? The Clippers have been allowing a ton of threes lately and in their last 3 games opposing teams have converted on 39.2% of attempts from distance, which is really good news if you’re a Warriors fan. It was good to see Klay Thompson go for 38 in the last Warriors game, but now it’s time for Curry to show who the real leader of this team is with a 30+ point performance of his own.
Marcus Morris over 1.5 made threes (+104)
Role players have been a huge part of the Clippers’ success this season and one of them is Marcus Morris, who is averaging 12.5 points per game in 2 meetings against Golden State. Whenever you have guys like Kawhi Leonard, Paul George and Russell Westbrook, getting open looks gets a lot easier. Morris has been getting quite a few of those lately, and after going 3-for-4 from distance in the win over the Knicks he’s in line for at least 2 threes in tonight’s game. The Warriors defense has been atrocious on the road, and only the Spurs and Rockets have a worse defensive rating when playing away from home. Andrew Wiggins and Gary Payton II are dearly missed, with Draymond Green’s focus being on guarding Kawhi and PG13, don’t be surprised if Morris gets 10 shots tonight. He has to make only 2 threes, which is very possible for him.
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