Just 24 hours after their overtime loss to the Timberwolves, the Golden State Warriors head to Colorado to take on the Western Conference-leading Denver Nuggets. It’s unclear whether Steph Curry will suit up for the Warriors after clocking 43 minutes last night, but if he does, he will be going up against reigning MVP Nikola Jokic and a Nuggets team looking to make a statement. Which team will come out on top? Our NBA expert has picks, predictions and best bets for this huge Warriors vs Nuggets game, so let’s dive in.
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Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets prediction
There’s no doubt that the Warriors will be feeling the effects of that overtime defeat to Minnesota, especially after being in such a commanding position late in the game. Now, Steve Kerr has to rally his team to take on the conference leaders. Given that fatigue will likely play a part and the fact that the Warriors have struggled mightily on the road this season, it’s hard to see how Golden State keeps this one competitive. The Nuggets will no doubt smell blood in the water and will want to capitalize at the reigning NBA champions’ expense.
Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets spread, odds & betting lines
Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook at time of publishing.
Point Spread: Warriors +12, Nuggets -12
Total Points Over/Under: 231.5 points
Money Line Odds: Warriors +440, Nuggets -590
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Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets expert picks
We’ve got 2 standout NBA picks for tonight’s game between the Warriors and Nuggets.
Warriors vs Nuggets point spread pick: Nuggets -12 (-110)
The Warriors had a fourth-quarter collapse in their game last night against the Timberwolves, leading by double digits before ultimately losing in overtime. They’ll now be tasked with traveling to Denver to play the second game of a back-to-back, which presents a very difficult challenge. Not only does Denver have the talent and depth to beat the Warriors on a normal day, but their significant rest and home-court advantage in this game gives them a clear edge in this game.
Golden State had a great opportunity to steal the win in Minnesota last night, but they fell short and now have to travel overnight to Denver to take on the well-rested Nuggets. It’s likely that the Warriors rest some of their starters in this game, however, it’s unclear exactly who they will decide to rest. Nonetheless, the Nuggets are capable of beating any lineup the Warriors send out. Led by superstar Nikola Jokic, Denver has one of the most efficient offenses in the NBA. In fact, they rank first in offensive rating and score the 6th most points per game. They’re coming off an impressive win over the Pelicans which should give them a boost of momentum during a difficult part of the schedule where they’ve faced the Pelicans twice along with Bucks and 76ers.
The Warriors are still very tough competition, but as previously mentioned, the Warriors played a long game in Minnesota last night and are at a significant travel and rest advantage. It wouldn’t be surprising to see Golden State rest a few key players, so look for the Nuggets to cruise to victory at home.
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Warriors vs Nuggets Over/Under totals pick: Over 231.5 (-110)
The over is the best option in this game between two offenses that can light up the scoreboard. Nikola Jokic is playing at an MVP level for the Nuggets and he leads a dangerous offensive attack that ranks first in offensive rating and scores the 6th most points per game. The Warriors have a mediocre defense, but fatigue could be a major issue after playing last night in Minnesota and they should struggle to slow down this deep and dangerous Nuggets lineup.
Denver has an average defense like the Warriors, however, so this should open the door for Steph Curry and the Golden State offense to keep pace with the Nuggets in this game. Therefore, this should be a high scoring game between the Warriors and Nuggets on Thursday night.
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