Filip Tomic
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The Suns were able to snatch Game 3 on Friday with a dominant performance from Devin Booker, but now the pressure is on them to follow it up with another win in Game 4. Tip-off is at 8:00 pm ET on TNT and I’ve prepared a Same Game Parlay to spice things up.
Don’t forget to also check our NBA predictions for picks on the side and total for Game 4 of Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers. Let’s dive into my SGP bet now!
Cameron Payne over 1.5 made threes (+120)
Nikola Jokic over 8.5 assists (-106)
Michael Porter Jr. over 1.5 made threes (-380)
Same Game Parlay odds: +419
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Cameron Payne over 1.5 made threes (+120)
Cameron Payne let down my SGP bet in Game 3 as he failed to connect on 2 threes, but I have faith he can do it in Game 4. Only 2 Suns players scored in double figures in Friday’s win, and I have my doubts whether or not that will continue. Denver ranks 4th in defensive rating during the postseason, so I think they’ll come up with a different game plan for tonight’s game, focusing more on stopping Kevin Durant and Devin Booker. Payne had some really good looks in Game 3, he just couldn’t connect on that second three which would have landed our parlay. The 30 minutes he played was a playoff-high for him during this postseason run, and as his minutes go up he should get more comfortable with his shot and his productivity can only go up. He shot the three-ball at 36.8% during the regular season while making 1.4 shots per game. As long as Chris Paul is out with his groin injury, Payne should remain in the starting lineup and play 30+ minutes. Let’s hope he can make amends tonight and drain 2 threes.
Check out our Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns predictions
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Nikola Jokic over 8.5 assists (-106)
We witnessed one of the craziest stat lines in NBA history in Game 3 by Nikola Jokic, but somehow it went under the radar as the focus was mostly on Devin Booker’s performance. Jokic finished the game with 30 points, 17 rebounds and an unreal 17 assists. What makes those numbers even more impressive is the fact that Denver shot only 44% from the field, and yet Jokic was still able to rack up the assists. His average in the series is now up to 9 dimes per game, that was the fourth time in 8 games he has been able to clear this line. Deandre Ayton can’t seem to do much against him and these kind of performances are just a continuation of those from the regular season when Jokic averaged 12 assists per game in 2 meetings with the Suns. Denver flourishes the most when Jokic is dishing the ball, so I don’t think they’ll move off that strategy in Game 4. In his last 10 games Jokic is averaging 8.8 assists and I’m confident he’ll go for double-figure assists tonight as well.
We also have a Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia Same Game Parlay at +488 odds!
Michael Porter Jr. over 1.5 made threes (-380)
It has been a struggle for Michael Porter Jr. in this series, but he was able to turn things around in Game 3, finishing with 21 assists and 12 rebounds. The most impressive aspect of that performance was his three-point shooting as he knocked down 6 of 10 threes, clearing this line for the first time in this series. Against Minnesota in round 1 he had at least 2 threes in every game, finishing with 42% efficiency from downtown. If tonight’s game is any similar to Friday’s, the Nuggets will need a lift offensively and who better to turn to than your best three-point shooter. With Durant and Booker solely focused on keeping the Suns in the game on the offensive end, keeping up with a 24-year-old athletic wing like Porter Jr. in back-to-back games is going to be a problem. During the regular season he shot the three-ball at 41.4% and in the postseason that’s up to 42.9%. When you’re shooting that efficiently, making 2 threes should be an easy task.
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