Filip Tomic
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Denver aims to become the first team to advance to the next round in the Western Conference tonight as the Nuggets host the Minnesota Timberwolves in Game 5 at Ball Arena. Tip-off is at 9:00 pm ET on NBA TV, and I’ve prepared a Same Game Parlay which is available below.
Our NBA predictions include picks on the side and total for all 3 NBA games being played this Tuesday, so don’t forget to check those out. Let’s dive into my SGP bet now.
Nikola Jokic to record 8+ assists (-240)
Anthony Edwards to score 30+ points (+120)
Michael Porter Jr. over 2.5 made threes (-132)
Same Game Parlay odds: +422
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Nikola Jokic to record 8+ assists (-240)
Nikola Jokic is averaging 8.3 assists per game in 4 games against the Timberwolves. He has cleared this line twice in the last 3 games and after his team wasted a 43-point performance in Game 4 on Sunday I’m sure he’ll try a different approach in tonight’s game. After all, we are talking about one of the highest basketball IQ players we have in the NBA. His regular-season splits are also a very good indicator of what kind of a game he could have. In 35 games at Ball Arena he has averaged 11.1 assists, while on the road in 34 games he was dishing 8.5 dimes a night. In wins he posts 3.2 assists more than in losses, so unless Minnesota pulls off the biggest upset in the past few years in the NBA we should be solid here. The T-Wolves haven’t been able to stop the ball movement of Denver in the last 3 games allowing 26.3 assists per game, with another high-paced game expected I’m sure Jokic will get to his averages in this one.
Anthony Edwards to score 30+ points (+120)
I had this bet in my Same Game Parlay for Game 4 and it landed with ease as Ant-Man dropped 34 points, delivering on a promise made after the Game 3 loss that this series is not over yet. Edwards has averaged 37 points per game over his last 3 outings, clearing the 30+ point line in all of them. He has also logged 40+ minutes in each game, and I see no reason why that won’t be the case tonight as well. Denver’s game plan won’t change much as they look to close things out. They’ve done a solid job at shutting down everyone else around Edwards, while he gets his numbers. For the series the Nuggets are allowing 40.2% of made threes so far, which is an alarming stat for a team aiming to go deep into the postseason. They should still be able to close out Minnesota, but Edwards won’t go away without firing on all cylinders.
We also have an Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics Same Game Parlay at +953 odds!
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Michael Porter Jr. over 2.5 made threes (-132)
Michael Porter Jr. has been very consistent from the 3-point line, averaging exactly 3 makes per game in this series while clearing this line twice. His shot attempts went down a bit in Game 4 and the result was a 6-point loss. Before that he had 25 in the Game 3 victory, so the formula for success is very clear for head coach Michael Malone. Minnesota’s perimeter defense is leaking shots all over the place, the Nuggets have averaged 39.3% of makes over the past 3 games of this series and, playing at home, Porter Jr. is bound to get some really good looks. For a player shooting 46.2% from three in the series it shouldn’t be too hard to make 3 shots in an elimination game.
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