Filip Tomic
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We have a total of 28 teams in action this Friday as the NBA continues following the Thanksgiving festivities. My focus is on the Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers game, tipping off at 10:30 pm ET on NBA TV.
I’ve prepared a Same Game Parlay which you can find below. Don’t forget to also check our NBA predictions for picks on the side and total on all the game being played today.
Let’s jump into the Nuggets vs Clippers matchup now.
Denver Nuggets 1–10 win margin (+175)
Marcus Morris over 2.5 made threes (+134)
Reggie Jackson over 5.5 assists (-108)
Same Game Parlay odds: +1213
Denver Nuggets 1–10 win margin (+175)
The head-to-head stats are on Denver’s side here as they’ve won 8 of the last 10 meetings. Of the last 4 Denver wins only 1 was more by 10 points, which means we could be in for a tight contest this evening. The Nuggets have a +8.5 Net Rating in road wins this season, they head into tonight’s game following a 5-point OT road win over OKC. Nikola Jokic should be ready to play, while the status of Jamal Murray and Michael Porter Jr. is still up in the air. The Clippers will be without Kawhi Leonard, Paul George and Luke Kennard for the second game in a row, and last time out they lost at Golden State by 17 without those players. Usually a solid defensive team, LA has allowed 114 and 124 points over their last 2 outings. A team like Denver will surely know how to take advantage of that, and I have the Nuggets coming out on top by single digits in this one.
Check our our Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers picks
Marcus Morris over 2.5 made threes (+134)
With Kawhi, PG13 and Kennard out, the Clippers will have to ride the hot hand of Marcus Morris once again. He’s first on the team in scoring, and has been knocking down threes for fun during November. He’s cleared this line 3 times over the 4 most recent games, and 9 times in total in 12 games this month at an average of 2.6 threes per game. He’s shooting it at a 43% clip, a number even Stephen Curry wouldn’t be ashamed of. Although Denver is one of the more solid teams when defending the three this season, they haven’t been all that good over their last 3 games, allowing opponents to shoot 37.3% from downtown. The OKC Thunder just shot 45% against them in their last game, so I’m hoping Morris can take advantage of that tonight.
Friday’s NBA parlay comes out at +604 odds!
Reggie Jackson over 5.5 assists (-108)
Reggie Jackson’s usage rate goes through the roof with both Kawhi and PG13 out, will he put that to good use in tonight’s game is the question? He’s assisted 6 times in the last game against Golden State, which was the third time in his last 7 games he’s gone over 5.5 dimes. Tonight’s game against Denver promises to be a higher-paced one, because the Nuggets push the ball a lot on the road this season. With so many key players out, Jackson will have to get everyone involved if the Clippers are to stand a chance at home. Opponents are averaging 26.4 assists per game against Denver this season, that’s the 22nd-highest number in the NBA. In his last 2 games against them he had 6 and 12 assists, so hopefully he can carry that momentum into tonight’s game.
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