Filip Tomic
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Another week comes to a close in the NBA and we have ourselves a matchup between arguably the two best players in the world right now. Luka Doncic and Giannis Antetokounmpo go at it tonight from 8:00pm ET on NBA TV, and I’ve prepared a Same Game Parlay which is available below.
Don’t forget to check our NBA predictions for picks on the side and total for all of Sunday’s 9-game slate.
Let’s dive into the Mavs vs Bucks matchup now!
Milwaukee Bucks 1-10 win margin (+175)
Brook Lopez 3+ made threes (+150)
Jrue Holiday to score 20+ points (+155)
Same Game Parlay odds: +1606
Milwaukee Bucks 1-10 win margin (+175)
Dallas has just been awful on the road this season. This will be the second game in as many nights for the Mavs as they fly in from Toronto, where they lost 105-100 to the Raptors. In 7 road games this season they’ve won just once and in their last 6 against Eastern Conference teams they’ve not covered the spread once. Milwaukee is a well-oiled machine. Even without their second-best player Khris Middleton, they are 2nd in the East and have just beaten the Cleveland Cavaliers by 15 points at home. This team ranks 7th with a +8.6 Net Rating in home games this year and they’ve beaten 5 of their last 6 Western Conference opponents. All the stats are pointing to a convincing Bucks win, so let’s back them get the job done.
Check out our picks on the side and total for Dallas Mavericks vs Milwaukee Bucks
Brook Lopez 3+ made threes (+150)
Having Brook Lopez as their center is almost like a cheat code for the Bucks. Lopez has the size to match up with almost every center in the NBA, but he can also go out on the perimeter and shoot a ton of threes when needed. In November he is averaging 5.6 threes per game while making an impressive 43.3%. In his 5 most recent games he’s making 3.2 a night on 57%, so I have faith he can get to at least 3 threes made tonight. Dallas hasn’t impressed when defending the perimeter this season, teams are making 36.5% of their attempts against them (39.1% over the last 3 games). That number jumps up to 39.5% on the road, which is one of the main reasons why they’ve struggled so much in games played away from home. In his last 4 games against Dallas he’s made 6, 2, 2 and 2 threes, so hopefully he can connect on a few shots tonight to land our bet.
Jrue Holiday to score 20+ points (+155)
Milwaukee will also need Jrue Holiday to come up big tonight. Guarding Luka Doncic will be a challenge in itself, but with the absence of Middleton, Holiday has jumped to 2nd on the team in scoring with an average of 17.6 points per game scored. He’s played a lot better at Fiserv Forum than on the road, averaging 18.5 per game while shooting 45% from the field and almost 37% from three. In his last two games against the Mavs he’s had 24 and 20 points, Dallas doesn’t really have any lockdown defenders on their team that can compete with the combination of size and agility Holiday has at the point-guard position. Doncic is focus way more on scoring than stopping the opposing players, Fred VanVleet just scored 26 against them last night and in the game before that Marcus Smart and Derrick White both scored double-figure totals. Look for Holiday to assert himself early.
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