Filip Tomic
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Division rivals Milwaukee and Chicago square off for the 4th and final time this season as the Bucks try to even out the regular season series at home. Tip-off is live from 7.30 pm on ESPN, continue reading below to see my Same Game Parlay.
Head over to our NBA Predictions page for picks on the side and total on tonight’s 8-game slate!
Let’s dive into my SGP bet now.
Milwaukee Bucks 1 – 10 Win Margin (+175)
Zach LaVine Over 2.5 Made Threes (+100)
Parlay odds: +587
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Milwaukee Bucks 1 – 10 Win Margin (+175)
Last night’s win at Washington, combined with a Boston Celtics loss at Philadelphia means that Milwaukee clinches the #1 seed throughout the playoffs with a victory against the Chicago Bulls. With 15 wins in 18 games and a 31-8 SU record at home, you won’t find many better teams in the NBA this season than the Bucks. They beat the Bulls by 12 points the last time they met, that was their 16th win in the last 20 meetings between the two teams. Chicago missed the opportunity to take over the 7th seed last night as they lost to Atlanta, which means they’re pretty much locked into the 10th seed baring a miracle over the last 3 games. Their road form has been questionable all season long, hence why they are 7.5 point underdogs in tonight’s game. With a healthy and motivated Giannis and Jrue Holiday, the Bucks should be able to win this one by at least 8 points.
Wednesday’s NBA Mega Parlay has +1194 odds!
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Zach LaVine Over 2.5 Made Threes (+100)
LaVine has been very successful against the Bucks lately scoring at least 3 threes in 4 of the last 5 meetings. Along with DeMar DeRozan he is the main catalyst on offense for these Bulls and after last night’s disappointing loss to Atlanta, LaVine will want to redeem himself with a solid performance here. His three-point shot has been pretty solid over the last 10 games at 35.7% efficiency. He’s cleared this line twice in his last 3 games, while scoring at least 23 points in each of those 3 games.
The Bucks are near the bottom in the NBA in perimeter defense over their last 3 outings, allowing opponents to connect on 44.3% of their attempts from deep. Oddly enough, they are a way worse 3-point defensive team at home than on the road with teams scoring on 36.1% of their attempts at Fiserv Forum compared to 34.4% in road games. One of DeRozan or LaVine is bound to have a big game here, since LaVine is the three-point specialist let’s go with him.
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