Filip Tomic
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We have a potential Eastern Conference semifinal preview tonight in Philadelphia as the 76ers host the Boston Celtics. With the Cs leading the regular-season series 3-0, there is pressure on Philly to respond. Tip-off is at 8:00 pm ET on TNT, and I’ve prepared a Same Game Parlay which is available below.
Also be on the lookout for our picks on the side and total for a massive Tuesday night slate with 26 teams on the NBA hardwood. You’ll find them on our NBA predictions. Let’s dive into my SGP bet now.
Philadelphia 76ers ML (-138)
Tyrese Maxey to score 20+ points (-130)
Joel Embiid over 0.5 made threes (-186)
Marcus Smart 2+ made threes (-150)
Parlay odds: +635
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Philadelphia 76ers ML (-138)
The Celtics are the team that has caused Philadelphia the most issues, not only this season but also in prior years. They’ve eliminated them from the 2020 and 2018 playoffs, and are on the verge of sweeping the regular-season series, coming into this game with a 3-0 lead. Why back the Sixers then? Well, the Celtics will most likely be shorthanded as Jaylen Brown and Robert Williams III are both doubtful. As good as they can look on certain nights, this team is vulnerable on others, and just last week we saw them lose by 19 points on the road in Washington. The 76ers still haven’t secured the 3rd seed and a win would definitely be a confidence-booster after so many losses to the Celtics. Then there’s also the MVP case of Joel Embiid, and beating a team like the Celtics at this crucial point of the season would certainly add to his case. All in all, I expect a close game, but the 76ers can just pull it out.
Tuesday’s NBA mega parlay has +739 odds!
Tyrese Maxey to score 20+ points (-130)
Tyrese Maxey has got off to hot starts in his last 2 games against the Bucks and Raptors, logging all 12 minutes in both games. His contribution will be essential for the Sixers in the postseason, so ramping up his workload should be a good move for head coach Doc Rivers. Maxey has responded well to his minutes increase over the last 10 games by averaging 23.8 points a night and clearing the 20-point line 8 times. Most of Maxey’s damage on offense comes from him attacking the rim and with Boston allowing 55.3 points per game from the paint in their last 3 outings, this is a dream scenario for the Philly shooting guard. He has scored 20+ in 2 of his last 5 games against Boston and with Brown’s absence, plus Boston focusing on stopping Embiid and Harden, I think Maxey can be very effective in this one.
Joel Embiid over 0.5 made threes (-186)
Defending the paint isn’t the only weakness the Celtics have had this season. They’re a below-average team on the road when it comes to perimeter defense, allowing an average of 36.4% of made threes. The big fella Embiid has played Boston 21 times during the regular season and has failed to make a three against them only 5 times, so I really like his odds to make one tonight. He has been forcing it a little from the perimeter over his last 10 games, which has hurt his percentage, but I feel like he has almost made it a goal of his to knock down at least 1 three per game if possible. He’s done it in 4 of his last 5 games overall, so let’s hope his streak continues tonight.
Check out Tuesday’s NBA first basket scorer prop bets
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Marcus Smart 2+ made threes (-150)
Another in-form player from the perimeter has been Marcus Smart, who is making 2.2 threes a night over his last 10 outings on 34.4% shooting. He has successfully cleared this line in 4 straight games and in 8 of his last 10, so I really like the odds we’re getting for a bet that lands quite often. Against the Sixers he has made 2 threes 3 times in the last 7 played, but I am expecting him to benefit from Brown’s absence, which should translate into more shot opportunities. Guarding the three-ball hasn’t gone well for the 76ers, with teams making 36% of attempts against them in the last 3 games, and that should be enough for Smart to have a solid scoring game.
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