Germantas Kneita
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The Denver Nuggets restored order and regained home-court advantage as they defeated the Miami Heat in Game 3 of the NBA Finals. In the process, Bam Adebayo was able to cash my +550 first basket scorer pick for the game. I will be hoping to make it 2 in a row as the Nuggets stay in Miami for Game 4.
You can watch tonight’s game live on ABC at 8:30 pm ET. Check out my first-basket scorer pick for the NBA finals below, and remember you can also read our Nuggets vs Heat predictions for picks on the side and total.
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Nuggets vs Heat first basket best bet: Jamal Murray (+650)
Bam Adebayo has taken the season lead in winning the opening tip against Nikola Jokic. The Heat center has come out on top on 3 of the 5 occasions they have gone up against each other. But considering how on the season the Nuggets have won 50% of their tips compared to 51.9% for the Heat, there really is not much to separate them. Do not be surprised to see the taller Jokic evening the score once more tonight. The visitors also holding their opponents to 41.7% shooting from the field in the finals. The Heat, on the other hand, allow them to make 51.3% of their shots. With the Nuggets the more likely team to get a stop, they should get an attempt at the first basket tonight.
I am backing Jamal Murray to be the man to convert it this time. The Nuggets have 2 clear offensive leaders with Murray and Jokic and they were the only Nuggets to have double-digit field-goal attempts in Game 3. Murray, however, benefits from the presence of Jokic more. Not only is the Serbian a terrific playmaker, but his shot-making ability forces Adebayo to stick close to him. That helps to reduce the amount of help the Heat can send Murray’s way on drives. Considering he is also matched up against a smaller Gabe Vincent, he should have no issues rising and finishing over his opponent. Murray opened the scoring for the Nuggets last time out and I think he can open the scoring overall this time.
You can also read our Game 4 Same Game Parlay, NBA player props and Mark Zinno’s Best Bets for tonight.
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