Best NBA player prop bets for today 11/9: MPJ shines for the Nuggets

Denver Nuggets forward Michael Porter Jr.
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Germantas Kneita

NBA

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Like most Lithuanians, I started watching basketball from the age of six. I'm based out in London and played basketball at the University of Lincoln here in the UK. I had always had an interest in the NBA but things really took off in the summer of 2010. That year Linas Kleiza led Lithuania to 3rd place at the World Championships and signed with the Toronto Raptors to replace the departing Chris Bosh. I've been a Raptors fan since that day and I've not missed a game since. I've been handicapping games for more than a decade, specializing in player props. For Germantas Kneita media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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After a break for voting yesterday, the NBA is back with a bang with a 13-game slate. The pick of the bunch could be the battle of Los Angeles, with the Lakers looking to put an end to an 8-game losing streak to their neighbors. A similar battle will be taking place in New York, with the Nets trying to close the gap to the Knicks in the standings.

With so much action on tonight, let’s dive straight into my favorite player prop picks.

Get our NBA picks for each of tonight’s 13 games

Michael Porter Jr. over 23.5 points + rebounds (-115)

Denver Nuggets forward Michael Porter Jr. has hit the over on this line in 4 of his last 5 games. He will be going up against an Indiana Pacers squad that has been leaking points, allowing 115 or more in 8 of their last 9 outings. Matchup-wise, he will likely be picked up by Buddy Hield, who Porter Jr. will have a size and length advantage over. Hield last went up against Brandon Ingram, allowing the New Orleans Pelicans forward to record 29 points and 6 rebounds. With the ability that Porter Jr. must get his shot over the top, he should have similar success here. That is especially true considering he has a very similar build and skill set to the Pelicans forward.

Be sure to check out our full Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers predictions

Mason Plumlee over 19.5 points + rebounds + assists (-113)

Due to his ability to pass the ball, the Mason Plumlee points, rebounds and assists combo prop has fast become one of my favorites. The Trail Blazers are 27th in opponent assists per game so those opportunities should be there for him tonight too. He has managed to record a combined 20 or more in 6 straight games and tonight should be no different.

Up against Plumlee is Jusuf Nurkic, who is bound to keep this battle in the paint. That should help Plumlee get his rebounding numbers up. Considering how physical Nurkic can be, Plumlee is the best set to counter him of all of the Hornets’ big men. Do not be surprised to see him push past 30 minutes in tonight’s game. This would give him plenty of time to chip away at this line and clear the 20-mark for the 7th straight game.

Lock in our Knicks vs Nets Same Game Parlay tonight at +2291 odds

Gary Trent Jr. over 2.5 made threes (-118)

Gary Trent Jr. has started the season hot from beyond the arc for the Toronto Raptors. In October he was making 3.4 threes per game on 38.7% shooting. And while he did have a couple of cold games to start November, he showed signs of improvement in their last game against the Chicago Bulls. The Houston Rockets should be a great opponent for him tonight. Trent Jr. averaged 5.5 threes per game against them last season, with their young guards likely to struggle chasing him around screens once more.

The Rockets are 22nd in opponent 3-pointers made this season and have shown they still have issues defending the perimeter. With Pascal Siakam out and this looking like being a fast-paced game, Trent Jr. should have no shortage of chances to do damage from outside.

Be sure to check out our full Houston Rockets vs Toronto Raptors predictions

Domantas Sabonis over 11.5 rebounds (+105)

Lithuanian big man Domantas Sabonis had a slow start to the season rebounding the ball for his standards. That was in part due to him getting into foul trouble. However, to start this month he has shown he may be ready to bounce back. Sabonis is averaging 12.3 boards per game in November. Tonight, he will be up against the Cleveland Cavaliers, who he averaged 12 boards per game against last season.

Up against Sabonis will be Jarrett Allen, who does not space the floor at all. That allows opposing bigs to stay within the paint. Al Horford and Anthony Davis took advantage of this to record 12 rebounds each against the Cavaliers recently. Look for Sabonis to follow suit.

Lock in our Lakers vs Clippers Same Game Parlay at HUGE +3000 odds

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