The NBA is off to an exciting start. I’ve seen some big tickets early on, but so far I’ve gone 11-5 (68%) for +3.1U. This is all considering that I’m only playing 0.5U across the board until things becomes less uncertain on a night-to-night basis. As usual, I have three straight plays I really like and a “degenerate parlay” worth sprinkling $5 on.
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Tobias Harris Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made ( -113)
Line available at FanDuel Sportsbook at the time of publishing.
I watched a good deal of Tobias Harris last week and he’s been relegated to a catch and shoot 3PT specialist on this 76ers team. He’s currently the 4th scoring option, but with Joel Embiid being questionable, he can be moved up the pecking order. He’s rarely posting up but does initiate the high pick and roll offensively and sags off into the opposite side corner waiting for the ball to rotate his way. I like this play because if Embiid plays, he’s still hit this line in 4/6 games. If Embiid doesn’t play, he should see an uptick 3PA as Maxey/Harden will be slashing most of the game and Harris’ defender will likely be playing a bit off him. Washington is allowing opponents to shoot 38.3% from 3 (25th overall).
Don’t miss our +1761 NBA mega parlay for tonight
Scottie Barnes Over 7.5 Rebounds (+110)
Line available at FanDuel Sportsbook at the time of publishing.
Atlanta is one of the poorer rebounding teams in the NBA but should make this game competitive. That’s important for this play as Barnes has hit this number in 2/3 games where he’s seen 32+ min. Pascal Siakam will likely have his hands full with Clint Capela and Okongwu, but Barnes should have no problem pulling down boards against the likes of John Collins and De’Andre Hunter. Atlanta is currently ranked 6th overall in PACE and 27th in overall rebounding rate. Barnes logged 14 rebounds last season against the Hawks.
Alperen Sengun Over 8.5 Rebounds (+100)
Line available at FanDuel Sportsbook at the time of publishing.
Sengun has hit this number in 5/5 games this season. The Rockets just officially announced they picked up the 3rd year option on his rookie deal today and he’s a consistent 27MPG. The Clippers are still in flux with Kawhi Leonard bouncing in and out of the line up nightly. Ivica Zubac has been nothing if not solid this season, but his minutes have varies from as low as 21 to as high as 34. Sengun should pose a good matchup for Zubac as he’s not as strong but is ignorantly more athletic. The Clippers are giving up 53.7 opposing rebounds per game (19th overall) and are ranked 24th in True Shooting percentage. Sengun should flirt with a double-double tonight, so I’ll grab this at plus odds.
Here’s our +1098 Pacers vs Nets Same Game Parlay
Degenerate Parlay +5780
Scottie Barnes DD +250
Tobias Harris 3+ 3PM +320
Alperen Sengun 12+ Reb +310
$5 —> $289
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