Best NBA player prop bets for Monday, 12/19: Lillard erupts against the Thunder

Feb 17, 2021; New Orleans, Louisiana, USA; Portland Trail Blazers guard Damian Lillard (0) calls a play against New Orleans Pelicans during the first half at the Smoothie King Center
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Filip Tomic

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Long-time NBA fan, following the game closely for 21 years now. Joined the Pickswise writing staff for the 2020-21 season and have given out winning picks since. Hopefully we can make some money together! Oh, and I firmly believe Lebron James is not one of the two best basketball players of all time. Yeah, I said it. For Filip Tomic media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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I’m currently on a 6-0 streak when it comes to NBA player prop bets, following another sweep in yesterday’s NBA player props! That’s now two Sundays in a row that all of my prop bets have landed, and what better way to start the week than go for it again tonight, right?

We have a grand total of 9 games tonight, be sure to head over to our NBA Predictions page for picks on the side and total.

Now let’s jump into my favorite player prop bets for Monday!

Jordan Clarkson to Score 20+ Points (-135)

Clarkson used to be known as the NBA’s super sub, but that’s no longer the case as he now has a starting job with the Utah Jazz. What better way to prove himself once more than dropping some points on his former team the Cleveland Cavaliers? He’s averaging 21.1 points per game over his last 9 outings, while shooting almost 44% from the field. He’s known as a streaky shooter, but in 4 of his last 6 games, he has successfully eclipsed this point total.

Just 2 games ago, he erupted for 39 points against the New Orleans Pelicans, I can see a lot of similarities between them and the Cavs which is another opportunity for him to have a big game. The last time he faced them he finished with 22 points, which was the 2nd time in 4 meetings he’s gone over 20. Collin Sexton not playing is also good news for our bet, as someone else will have to step up to make up for his 14.3 points per game.

Monday’s NBA Mega Parlay has +1108 odds!

Damian Lillard to Score 30+ Points (-135)

When you make a statement that you are the 2nd best shooter of all-time behind Stephen Curry, you have to go out there and back up those claims. I’m expecting Damian Lillard to do just that against the Oklahoma City Thunder. Dame is averaging 31.6 points per game over his last 7 outings while shooting 49.3% from the field and an insane 47.8% from downtown. He’s also recorded 4 games of 30 or more points in his last 6 outings, and in 2 of his last 4 games against OKC.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander not playing tonight saves him a ton of energy on the defensive side of the ball, so he can focus solely on making as many shots his team needs to get the win here. It also helps that the Thunder are allowing 38.1% of made threes over their last 3 games, and Lillard made 11 threes in a game against the Timberwolves last Monday. Jerami Grant is also questionable to play here and he’s 3rd on the Blazers in scoring this season, and if he can’t suit up, an increase in production is to be expected both for Lillard and Simons.

Check out our Portland Trail Blazers vs OKC Thunder predictions

Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 10.5 Rebounds (-128)

Taking the night off on Saturday against the Jazz should do Giannis well, he comes into tonight’s game well rested and focused following that ugly defeat his Bucks suffered at Memphis the last time he played. He is averaging 10.3 boards per game in December, and his average would have been higher if it wasn’t for a couple of games where he had an unusually low 6 boards.

That shouldn’t be the case tonight, as the Pelicans have allowed opponents to grab 57.7 rebounds per game over their last 3 outings which is the 2nd highest amount in the entire NBA during that stretch. As a team, the Bucks rank 4th in the NBA racking up 58 rebounds per game in their last 3, while on the road this season they are at 57 a night which is 2nd best in the league. With the total going over in 9 of the last 10 games between these teams, we are expecting another high paced game which should also help Giannis reach 11 rebounds here.

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