Filip Tomic
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A new week begins in the NBA with a 7-game slate, and we have prepared yet another set of our best player prop bets worth keeping an eye on. The scoring has gone up quite a bit over these first couple of weeks of the new season, so it’s only natural to base our selections on that end of the court.
Head over to our NBA picks page to find our predictions on the side and total for all 7 games tonight, but without wasting any more time let’s jump into it.
Terry Rozier over 2.5 made threes (-132)
Opposing teams tend to struggle with Terry Rozier’s speed more often than not, and tonight against the Orlando Magic I’m expecting him to use that to his advantage. With LaMelo Ball back in the lineup, Rozier finally has someone to share the spotlight with on offense, which should alleviate some of the pressure of the Magic defense. Rozier’s three-ball has been falling fairly consistently this season, especially on the road, where he is knocking down 42.3% of his attempts. He’s scored 3 threes in 4 of 5 games played this month and if it wasn’t for the 1-for-9 night against Washington, his percentage would be a lot higher than the 34.5% he’s at right now.
Orlando is fairly mediocre when it comes to defending the perimeter. They allow opponents to make 37.3% of their shots from distance, which ranks them in the bottom half of the NBA. Tonight’s game has the potential to be a high-scoring one, and if that’s the case, Rozier should have no issues scoring at least 3 threes here.
Be sure to check out our full Charlotte Hornets vs Orlando Magic predictions
Dejounte Murray over 6.5 assists (-128)
Unlike his backcourt mate Trae Young, who is really struggling right now, Dejounte Murray has been far more reliable for the Atlanta Hawks this season. He is averaging 7.9 assists over his last 10 games, and that number jumps up to 8.5 in 2 meetings against the Milwaukee Bucks. If we expand our search to his last 5 games against them, he’s successfully dished out 7 assists in all but 1 game. So far in the month of November, he is averaging 8.5 dimes per game, and only once has he failed to get to 7 assists. I’m very optimistic he can get to that number tonight.
Milwaukee played without both Giannis Antetokounmpo and Jrue Holiday in their last game against San Antonio, and while the Greek Freak is expected back, Holiday will be a game-time decision. Not having to deal with him on defense and offense would lift a huge burden off of Murray’s back here. Having seen Murray get 11 assists the last time he played the Bucks, I think regardless of whether Holiday plays or not, he can get to 7 dimes here.
Marcus Morris over 2.5 made threes (+152)
No Kawhi Leonard in the lineup has lifted Marcus Morris to 2nd in the team’s scoring hierarchy, just behind Paul George. Morris has been lethal in the month of November so far, especially from three-point territory, where he’s averaging 3 makes per game on 7 attempts, while shooting almost 43%. He’s successfully drained 3 threes in 3 straight games, while only once this month (against Utah) did he fail to reach that number.
Against the young Rockets, he is averaging exactly 3 threes per game over the last 5 meetings. The last time he faced them, he went 4-for-8 and finished the game with 21 points. Houston’s perimeter defense is nothing to brag about — they are only 18th in the NBA in opponent three-point percentage allowing 36% of shots from downtown. That number goes up to 39.3% when they play at home, so I’m expecting Morris to get going early tonight at Toyota Center.
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