Adam Ronis
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There are 12 games in the NBA on Friday night. Four have a line of 4 points or less and 3 have lines of at least 11 points. As always, stay up to date on the latest injury news since lines can change. Bets may be added throughout the day if additional spots that arise, so be sure to check back later in the day. My record is 70-54-1 for the season. Here are my picks for tonight.
Dejounte Murray over 41.5 points + rebounds + assists (-105 on DraftKings)
Dejounte Murray has consistently gone over this total and he tends to come through on most of his props. His points prop of 23.5 points is also appealing. Murray has scored at least 25 points in 7 straight games. The Spurs guard has gone over this points, rebounds and assists total in 6 of the last 7 games. The one game he fell short was against the Jazz when the Spurs won 104-102 and Murray shot 9-for-23 from the field and had 27 points, 9 rebounds and 4 assists. The Pelicans are 22nd in defensive efficiency and 2nd-worst in the NBA over the last 3 games, so the opportunities should be there. Murray had 31 points, 12 assists and 7 rebounds against the Pelicans on February 12, and with New Orleans allowing at least 131 points in 4 of its last 6 games, he should be set for another productive game.
Tyrese Haliburton over 25.5 points + assists (-115 on Caesars)
Tyrese Haliburton is coming off his worst game as a Pacer. He had 4 points and 8 assists in 30 minutes as the Pacers lost 135-102 to Memphis. However, this is the perfect spot for Haliburton to bounce back. The game total is 239.5 points and Houston is last in defensive efficiency and 3rd in pace. Haliburton has gone over this total in 10 of his 14 games with Indiana. Outside of the Memphis game, his points + assists totals have been 35, 29, 34, 26, 15, 27, 30 and 31 in the previous 8 games, so 26 or more looks very achievable in this spot.
Nikola Jokic over 24.5 points (-120 on BetMGM)
Nikols Jokic is making a push for the Most Valuable Player award and has picked up his scoring in March. He is averaging 29.8 points over the last 8 games, and has gone over this total in 5 of those games, while shooting 61.8% from the field in March. The Cavaliers have struggled to defend centers without Jarrett Allen. Joel Embiid had 35 points in their last game and other centers to perform well against Cleveland recently are Ivica Zubac (24 points), Nikola Vucevic (20) and Bam Adebayo (30). Since the all-star break, the Cavaliers rank 26th in points allowed to centers. Take Jokic to have another strong game.
Rudy Gobert over 13.5 rebounds (+105 on BetMGM)
Rudy Gobert is averaging 14.8 rebounds per game and has consistently crushed this prop. It was 12.5 when we bet it on Wednesday and he went over in the first half. Gobert has gone over 13 rebounds in 4 of the last 6 games and 6 of the last 8. The times he fell short, it was due to limited minutes. He had 10 rebounds in 22 minutes of a 38-point win over the Trail Blazers and was limited to 25 minutes when he had 11 rebounds in 25 minutes of a 34-point loss to the Pelicans. Gobert is averaging 14.8 rebounds per game in March. He faced the Clippers on December 15 and had 17 rebounds. With the Clippers rank 26th in rebounding percentage, this prop looks good tonight.
Devin Booker over 37.5 points+rebounds+assists (-110 on BetMGM)
Booker has been crushing this prop recently, especially without Chris Paul. Booker has gone over this total in 9 of 11 games without Paul and is averaging 29 points in those games. Booker has taken at least 18 shots from the field in 4 straight games and is averaging 7.7 assists in the last 8 games. Since the All-Star break, Booker has PRA totals of 42, 38, 44, 40, 32, 42, 40 and 44. The Bulls are 19th in defensive efficiency and the game total is 231.5 points. Booker played the Bulls on Feb. 7 and had 38 points, 5 assists and 4 rebounds
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