Adam Ronis
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There are 13 games in the NBA Wednesday. Five games have a line of 3.5 points or fewer and 3 games have a double-digit line. Four games have a total of at least 229 points. As always, stay up to date on the latest injury news since lines can change and COVID-19 is making a big impact. Bets may be added throughout the day if there are additional spots that arise, so be sure to check back later in the day. My record is 45-29 for the season. Here are my picks for tonight.
Darius Garland over 19.5 points (-120 on DraftKings)
Garland has been playing like an All-Star. We cashed on him Monday with his PRA assist prop. Garland has scored 22, 27, and 32 points the last 3 games. Garland has gone over this total in 9 of the last 12 games and is averaging 21.6 points in the last 10 games and 19.7 points for the season. Garland has taken at least 19 shots from the field in the last 3 games. Rajon Rondo has missed the last 4 games and remains out. The Bulls are struggling and will be missing Zach LaVine, and Lonzo Ball. Alex Caruso is listed as probable. The Bulls are last in defensive efficiency over the last 3 games. Garland played the Bulls on December 8 and scored 24 points.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 24.5 points (-125 on DraftKings)
Gilgeous-Alexander has gone over this total in 3 of the last 4 games, scoring 34, 33, and 32 points and all were on the road. The Thunder are in San Antonio tonight. The Spurs are 19th in defensive efficiency and the Spurs rank 4th in pace. SGA has at least 18 shots from the field in the last 4 games. The Spurs allow 49.5 points per game, which is 3rd-worst in the NBA and SGA drives to the basket a lot.
Bradley Beal over 33.5 points+rebounds+assists (-120 on FanDuel)
Beal is in a good spot against the Nets. Kevin Durant is out and it weakens the Nets’ defense. Brooklyn is the 5th-worst team in defensive efficiency over the last 3 games. The game total is 234 points. Beal has gone over this total in 8 of the last 10 games. He had 33 on Sunday against the Magic and hit just 7-of-22 from the field in his first game back from health and safety protocols and only took 12 shots from the field against the 76ers in a 19-point win on Monday.
Oklahoma City Thunder (+7.5) at San Antonio Spurs
The Thunder aren’t a good team at 14-29, but they are one of the best teams ATS at 28-14-1. The Spurs aren’t a good team either at 16-28 and shouldn’t be favored by this much. The Spurs are 8-13 at home. The Thunder lost to a good Mavericks team by 2 points in their last game and by 5 to the Cavaliers in the previous game. The Thunder have lost 4 of the last 5, all by 5 points or fewer and all against winning teams. The Spurs have lost 6 of 7 and 10 of their last 12. The Spurs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games, while the Thunder are 7-2-1. The Thunder are 14-7 ATS on the road. The Thunder are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games against teams with a losing record and the Spurs haven’t covered in 4 of the last 5.
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