There are 8 games in the NBA Monday night. Four games have a line of 4 points or fewer and the highest line is 10.5 points. Two games have a total of at least 221 points. As always, stay up to date on the latest injury news since lines can change and COVID-19 is making a big impact. Bets may be added throughout the day if there are additional spots that arise, so be sure to check back later in the day. My record is 51-36 for the season. Here are my picks for tonight.
Anfernee Simons over 3.5 three-pointers (+115 on Caesars)
Simons cashed this for us on Friday and I played it again yesterday at plus-money. Simons has gone over this total in 7 consecutive games. He has 5 three-pointers in two straight games. He is averaging 4.6 three-pointers per game in January and 10.4 attempts per game. The Thunder are top 10 in three-pointers allowed to point guards and shooting guards. Simons has gone over this total in 11 of 14 games in January.
Andre Drummond over 21.5 points + rebounds (-120 on DraftKings)
Joel Embiid has been ruled out for this game. Drummond has played at least 30 minutes 6 times this season and had 29, 39, 37, 16, 27, and 32 points + rebounds. Drummond averages 18.2 minutes per game and averages 6 points and 8.8 rebounds. The extra playing time will get him over this total.
Josh Giddey over 30.5 points + rebounds +assists (-120 on FanDuel)
Giddey will be benefit with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander out. Gilgeous-Alexander has a 29.3 percent usage rate. Giddey has played 3 games without Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 17 points, 9 rebounds and 10 assists. Giddey’s usage rate goes from 21.6 percent with SGA to 25.5 percent without him and he will have the ball in his hands more. The Blazers are playing for the second consecutive night and are 29th in defensive efficiency. Portland allows the 4th most points per game and the 4th most points to point guards.
Sacramento Kings vs New York Knicks Over 212 points
The Kings are tied for second in pace, while the Knicks are 29th. The Kings are 28th in defensive efficiency and have allowed at least 121 points in 4 of the last 5 games and allowed at least 114 points in 6 of the last 7 games. This is the 5th consecutive road game for the Kings. This is a low total for a Kings game. They have gone over this number in 7 of the last 9 games. The Knicks offense has struggled, but this is a spot for them to put up points against a putrid defense. The Knicks have gone over in 4 of the last 6 games.
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