Adam Ronis' NBA player prop picks for Friday, January 28

There are 11 games in the NBA on Friday night. Five have a line of 3 or fewer points and the highest line is 8.5 points. Four games have a total of at least 228 points. As always, stay up to date on the latest injury news since lines can change and COVID-19 is making a big impact. Bets may be added throughout the day if there are additional spots that arise, so be sure to check back later in the day. My record is 49-35 for the season. Here are my picks for tonight.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 31.5 points + assists (-110 on Caesars)

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been sizzling over the last few weeks. He has scored at least 29 points in 6 of the last 8 games. He has at least 5 assists in 9 of the last 11 games and is coming off a game in which he had 10 assists. He tends to play minutes in the mid-to-high 30s if it’s not a blowout and the Thunder are 1-point underdogs to the Pacers at home. Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 27.3 points and 7.3 assists in the last 8 games. The Pacers allowed 158 points to the Hornets in their last game and are 23rd in defensive efficiency.

Anfernee Simons over 3.5 three-pointers (+130 on Caesars)

Anfernee Simons has hit at least 4 3-pointers in 5 straight games and in 7 of the last 9 games. He is averaging 10.5 3-pointers per game in January and hitting 4.6. The Rockets are last in defensive efficiency and play at the fastest pace. The Rockets allow the 6th-most 3-pointers per game. Simons is 23-for-51 from 3-point range in the last 5 games.

Read our mega parlay for Friday’s NBA games (+1593 odds!)

DeMar DeRozan over 25.5 points (-104 on FanDuel)

DeMar DeRozan has carried the Chicago Bulls for most of the season. He is averaging 26.4 points per game and has scored 30, 35, 41 and 29 points over the last 4 games. Facing the Spurs will be the second consecutive game in which DeRozan will face one of his former teams. He scored 29 points against the Raptors on Wednesday. DeRozan has taken at least 18 shots from the field in 6 consecutive games and has gone to the free-throw line 38 times in the last 3 games. The Spurs rank 3rd in pace and the game total is 231 points, so it should not be too difficult for DeRozan to reach this figure.

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