Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, Odds and Picks for Wednesday, 03/05/25
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Thunder vs Grizzlies Pickswise Expert Predictions
Monday saw the Thunder win their 50th game of the regular season as they took down the Rockets 137-128 thanks to SGA’s 51 point explosion. His regular season MVP case keeps improving, especially with OKC’s lead atop of the West standings remaining at 10 games or so. The Thunder have won 4 in a row, they have a tricky road game in Memphis on Wednesday. I say tricky because they’ve covered the spread only twice in 9 visits to FedEx Forum, which makes you question can they win by 8 or more points to cover here. The last 7 meetings have all gone OKC’s way, with 5 of them finishing with a double-digit win.
With 3 straight losses, the Grizzlies are under a lot of pressure to get a result here. This poor run of form has seen them drop to 4th in standings and the Lakers now have a 1.5 game edge in the 2nd seed. All is not lost though, most importantly the Grizzlies finally have a healthy team 60 games into the regular season which isn’t something we’ve seen often over the past several years. Defense has been the biggest Achilles heel for this team – over their last 5 games opponents have put up 132, 130, 114, 148 and 129 points on them. At some point head coach Taylor Jenkins will have to make the necessary adjustments before it’s too late.
Although it might not sound like a popular bet for Memphis Grizzlies games, I am looking at the under here. The point total has been set at 250.5 points, neither of the two meetings earlier this season came close to that number. The under is 6-2 in the last 8 games head-to-head, one sub-par shooting quarter here and there’s little chance both teams score in the high 120s on Wednesday. I’ll give the under a shot in this one.
Thunder vs Grizzlies prediction: Under 250.5 is available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.
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Filip Tomic
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The Thunder's last 5 road games have gone Over the total.
The Grizzlies are 18-13 ATS at home this season.
The Thunder have won 7 of their last 9 road games, while the Grizzlies have lost 4 in 5 at home.
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