Oklahoma City Thunder

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Boston Celtics Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 03/12/25

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Thunder
Thunder
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Celtics
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53-12Record47-18
41-22-2ATS Record30-35-0
37-28O/U Record33-32

Vote on who will cover the spread!

Boston Celtics

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Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA
Boston Celtics
Point Spread PickBest Bet
BOS Celtics -3.5(-115)OKC Thunder @ BOS Celtics

For only the third time this season, Wednesday night will see the Oklahoma City Thunder enter a game as an underdog as they face the mighty Boston Celtics at TD Garden. The spread is at 3.5 points, which isn’t a lot. OKC lost to Denver in its last game, splitting the baseball series against Jokic and company — but, more importantly, the Thunder lost Jalen Williams to a hip injury. Not having their second-leading scorer and his 20 points per game could prove to be costly in this one, as the Celtics will likely come out with everything they have on offense.

Boston has been on a roll for a while now; prior to this game it posted a 114-108 win over the Utah Jazz at home. The Celtics rested a couple of important players just so they can be at 100 percent for this matchup with the Thunder. A revenge factor should also not be underestimated here — Boston had arguably its worst offensive game of the season in the first meeting between the 2 teams back in January, losing 105-92. In that game the Celtics made just 9 of 46 attempts from 3, good enough for just 19% efficiency. I am going to go out on a limb and say that will not happen again in Wednesday’s game; the Celtics average 18.2 made 3s per game at TD Garden this season.

The 2 teams are evenly matched, but the loss of Jalen Williams will be huge for the Thunder. Even though they are 4-0 SU in games without him this season, none of those were against a team as good as the Celtics. Boston has won 5 games in a row, it is 7-1 SU in 8 at home and has beaten 6 of 7 opponents from the Western Conference. It’s time for the C’s to make a statement with a big win. I’m taking them to cover.

Thunder vs Celtics prediction: Boston -3.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Filip Tomic
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Filip Tomic

Long-time NBA fan, following the game closely for 21 years now. Joined the Pickswise writing staff for the 2020-21 season and have given out winning picks since. Hopefully we can make some money together! Oh, and I firmly believe Lebron James is not one of the two best basketball players of all time. Yeah, I said it. For Filip Tomic media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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Same Game Parlay

Player Rebounds
J. Tatum (BOS) - 8+ rebs
Player Points
C. Holmgren (OKC) - 20+ pts

Jayson Tatum to record 8+ rebounds (-260)

Jayson Tatum’s ascent in the rebounding department has been evident this season. Compared to last season, he’s upped his average from 8.1 per game to 8.9, being way more active on the defensive end in grabbing nearly a full rebound per game more than last year. Whenever the Celtics have needed him he has stepped up to the task. We just saw him have a massive 40-point and 12-rebound game against the Lakers the other night, which was his 6th game of at least 10 rebounds over the past 10 games played. During this stretch, he’s cleared this line 7 times while averaging 10.1 rebounds per game.

Oklahoma City’s rebounding issues have been well-documented this season, as they allow the 4th-most boards per game at 54.5. Over their last 3 games that number has stayed consistent at 55 per game, so let’s hope Tatum can take advantage of that here. He’s averaging 8.2 rebounds per game in the last 10 meetings head-to-head.

Chet Holmgren to score 20+ points (+250)

With the Thunder potentially being without their 2nd leading scorer Jalen Williams here, it’ll be up to Chet Holmgren to step up to the task and help Shai Gilgeous-Alexander on offense. Since returning from injury, Holmgren has slowly increased his workload on offense and as a result over his last 4 road games he is averaging 17 ppg in just 25.6 minutes. That kind of points-per-minute production is hard to ignore, even against a Celtics team that has done a solid job defensively all year long.

Holmgren is basically a carbon copy of Kristaps Porzingis — he can use his size down low to get shots over defenders, but he can also take it outside the perimeter and drain threes off the dribble. His main matchup on defense will be 38-year-old Al Horford, and with all due respect to him, I do not believe he will be able to stay in front of Holmgren in this game. Chet has scored 19+ points in 3 of his last 7 games, and I believe there is great value in him reaching 20 here at +250 odds to bring home our Thunder vs Celtics Same Game Parlay.

Filip Tomic
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Game Totals

8 of the Thunder's last 10 road trips to the Celtics have gone Over the total.

Point Spread

The Thunder have gone 18-13 on the road against the spread this season.

Money Line

The Thunder have won 6 straight road games.

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