Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Odds and Picks for Wednesday, 03/12/25

Ball ArenaESPN
Timberwolves
Timberwolves
Yesterday
Nuggets
Nuggets
WWWWW
Last 5
LWWLW
37-29Record42-23
32-33-1ATS Record31-33-1
36-30O/U Record39-26

Vote on who will cover the spread!

Denver Nuggets

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Pickswise Expert Predictions

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA
Denver Nuggets
Point Spread Pick
MIN Timberwolves +3.5(-105)MIN Timberwolves @ DEN Nuggets

The Denver Nuggets return home on Wednesday night after a quick 2-game road trip, in which they split a pair of games with the Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday and Monday. Denver will host a red-hot Minnesota Timberwolves squad, which enters this contest on a 5-game winning streak while covering the spread in 4 of those 5 games. Head-to-head, the Timberwolves have had the Nuggets’ number this season — winning each of the 2 meetings, with the latest coming on January 25 in a 133-104 victory. Anthony Edwards led the way in that contest with 34 points and 9 assists. Despite the head-to-head success and current winning streak, Minnesota is a +3.5 underdog in this one.

With that said, I’ll be making a play on the Timberwolves and the points for my Timberwolves vs Nuggets pick. Not only has Minnesota had success against Denver this season, but it has also been one of the most profitable teams against the spread when in the underdog role. The Timberwolves are 10-6-1 ATS as underdogs this season and they are currently playing some of their best basketball. Minnesota ranks 10th in the NBA in terms of offensive rating (114.5) and over the last 5 games it is second in that department (125.1) behind only the Spurs. The Timberwolves are also clawing their way out of the current play-in spot they find themselves in and are only 0.5 games back of the Warriors for the # 6 seed, so that adds some extra motivation. The biggest boost, however, is the return of Rudy Gobert — who is desperately needed in this contest to slow down Nikola Jokic.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets prediction: Minnesota +3.5 (-105) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Kyle Lupas
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Kyle Lupas

Born and raised in Northeast Pennsylvania and a former college baseball player, I'm an avid fan and handicapper of the MLB, NBA, NFL and NCAA's. Looking to find an edge by any means necessary. A lifelong Phillies fan, I was still unable to get my learner's permit the last time they made a postseason appearance. For Kyle Lupas media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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Same Game Parlay

Player Threes Made
N. Jokic (DEN) - Over 1.5 threes
Player Points
A. Edwards (MIN) - Over 26.5 pts
Player Rebounds
J. Randle (MIN) - Over 6.5 rebs

Nikola Jokic over 1.5 made threes (-125)

In both meetings with the Timberwolves this season, Nikola Jokic had stepped back beyond the arc and knocked down a couple of three-pointers. With Rudy Gobert returning in the Timberwolves’ last outing and possibly taking the floor tonight too, the incentive should be there for the reigning MVP to act as a floor spacer. He has had success doing so in March so far, recording 2 or more threes in 3 of his last 5 games. Against the Timberwolves this season he is making 57.1% of three-point attempts, so should be keen to utilize this further tonight. Jokic has had far more success making three-pointers at home this season too, knocking down 47% of his attempts compared to 39.1% on the road. That should work in his favor tonight.

Anthony Edwards over 26.5 points (-115)

Timberwolves superstar Anthony Edwards has been able to hit the over on this line in both meetings against the Nuggets this season, averaging 31.5 points in those efforts. While he has seen a slight dip in form, he is still averaging 28.6 points per game on the road this season and should have similar success tonight against a favorable opponent.

The Nuggets are 27th in opponent three-point percentage over the last 10 games, which suits Edwards well considering no player in the NBA has attempted more shots from beyond the arc this season than the Timberwolves star. On the season, the Nuggets are also 23rd in opponent points in the paint, largely due to the fact that Jokic offers little in terms of rim protection. It should allow Edwards to mix things up tonight and utilize his athleticism by attacking the rim. Expect a strong scoring performance here from Ant-Man.

Julius Randle over 6.5 rebounds (-140)

With Gobert sticking close to Jokic throughout the night, it should help create rebounding opportunities for other members of the Timberwolves squad. I expect Randle to step up to the mantle. The power forward has been on a good rebounding run of late for Minnesota, recording 7 or more rebounds in 4 straight contests. He is also averaging 6.5 rebounds per game against the Nuggets this season but with current form, should be set to exceed this.

Randle’s direct matchup Aaron Gordon is doubtful to play tonight, which could leave him matched up against Zeke Nnaji. He is making just 32.4% of his three-pointers this season and is unlikely to garner much respect on the perimeter. Randle will not have to close out aggressively. When battling in the paint, the Timberwolves man should have a major strength advantage. That should help him pull down a few more boards tonight.

Germantas Kneita
Top Trends
Game Totals

The Over is 4-1 in the Nuggets' last 5 divisional matchups.

Money Line

The Timberwolves are on a 5-game winning streak.

Point Spread

The Timberwolves have covered in 4 of their last 5 matchups against divisional opponents.

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