Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 01/22/25

Tonight, the Minnesota Timberwolves (9th in the West) visit the Dallas Mavericks (7th in the West) in what promises to be a gritty and tightly contested battle. Both teams share a similar play style and roster makeup, with comparable records, adding extra intrigue to their matchup. The Timberwolves will be short-handed, missing Donte DiVincenzo, a loss that comes at an inopportune time against a team that knows them well. The head-to-head record this year is tied at 1-1. Minnesota has struggled lately, going 2-3 over their last 5 games, averaging 114.8 ppg but allowing 110.6 ppg. Their defense remains a bright spot, ranked 7th in the league, and their slower pace (25th overall) often forces opponents to grind it out. Anthony Edwards leads the way with 26.3 ppg, while Julius Randle, Naz Reid and Rudy Gobert will need to step up in DiVincenzo’s absence. Still, the Timberwolves have yet to find consistency after trading Karl-Anthony Towns in the offseason.

For Dallas, Luka Doncic remains sidelined, and the team’s fatigue has been evident in their recent 1-4 stretch. Kyrie Irving has been outstanding, averaging 27.1 ppg over the last 7 games, but his solo efforts haven’t been enough to avoid recent struggles, including a loss to Charlotte. However, with home-court advantage and familiarity with their opponent, this could be a bounce-back spot for the Mavs. The books may have overreacted to Luka being ruled out this time around, and the fact that Dallas is a home underdog tonight against a team they know they can beat without Doncic is telling enough. Furthermore, short favorites of -1 to -3 hit at 67% ATS last week (season average 49%) and with the Magic -1 losing last night to the Raptors, data suggests the short-lined favorites will continue to fall for a couple of days. Expect a low-scoring defensive battle with Dallas coming out on top.

Timberwolves vs Mavericks prediction: Mavericks +3 (-106) available at time of publishing. Playable to -1.

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