Miami Heat

Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 04/16/25

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Heat
Heat
Today
Bulls
Bulls
LWLWL
Last 5
WLWWW
37-45Record39-43
39-42-1ATS Record46-35-1
44-38O/U Record46-36

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Chicago Bulls

Heat vs Bulls Pickswise Expert Predictions

Miami Heat
NBA
Chicago Bulls
Point Spread Pick
CHI Bulls -1.0(-110)MIA Heat @ CHI Bulls

And just like that the Miami Heat find themselves in the #9 vs #10 play-in game, facing the Chicago Bulls on the road with their season on the line. It hasn’t been a year to remember for the Heat, far from it. However, things can still be salvaged if they can win the 2 play-in games, but you have to wonder if a likely 1st-round exit against the Cavaliers would be considered a success at this point. Playing in Chicago will be tough, as the Bulls beat the Heat in all 3 meetings this season, including twice at the United Center. For a team that’s struggled to get points up for most of the season, going up against one of the fastest-paced teams in the league is not ideal.

The Bulls come into this game with a lot of momentum, having won 6 of their last 7 games. Only 4 teams have accumulated more wins over the past 15 games in the NBA, and the Bulls ranked 10th both in offensive and defensive efficiency during this stretch. The trio of Coby White, Nikola Vucevic and Josh Giddey has complimented each other very well, with a couple of players in lesser roles like Kevin Huerter, Ayo Dosunmu and Matas Buzelis stepping up. Chicago ranks 1st in pace, averaging 104.4 possessions per game over their last 15 outings, which gives them a distinct advantage over the Heat, who are just 23rd averaging 97.4 possessions per game.

It’s been a season to forget for Miami. Although I wouldn’t be shocked if they won on Wednesday, the Bulls feel like the more complete team at this point. They’ve won 4 of 5 meetings at the United Center and 8 of the last 12, including all 3 this season. The Heat are known to turn it up when it matters the most, but Chicago is just the more reliable team in this one.

Heat vs Bulls prediction: Bulls -1 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Filip Tomic
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Filip Tomic

Long-time NBA fan, following the game closely for 21 years now. Joined the Pickswise writing staff for the 2020-21 season and have given out winning picks since. Hopefully we can make some money together! Oh, and I firmly believe Lebron James is not one of the two best basketball players of all time. Yeah, I said it. For Filip Tomic media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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Same Game Parlay

Player Points
T. Herro (MIA) - 20+ pts
Player Rebounds
B. Adebayo (MIA) - 10+ rebs
Player Points
C. White (CHI) - 20+ pts
Player Threes Made
M. Buzelis (CHI) - 2+ threes

Tyler Herro to score 20+ points (-370)

We start off our Heat vs Bulls Same Game Parlay with what should be a straightforward bet – Tyler Herro to score 20 points. I say straightforward because he’s achieved this feat in 16 of his last 20 games, while averaging 23.5 points per game on almost 52% from the field and over 40% efficiency from downtown on 2.3 makes per game.

Chicago has not been able to close him down in the 3 meetings this season, where he has scored 30, 21 and 23 points, so I really like his chances of getting 20+ in Wednesday’s game. This game should be a battle between 2 teams with contrasting styles and whoever gets to impose their style will be in a driver’s seat. Almost everything on offense goes through Herro for Miami, as he is both their leading scorer and leading assist man this campaign. With their season on the line, there’s no doubt in my mind Herro will elevate his game to a whole new level.

Bam Adebayo to record 10+ rebounds (-118)

Up next we have Miami’s 3rd leading scorer, but we aren’t aiming at Bam Adebayo to carry the Heat with his scoring here. Instead, we need him to control the glass in this game. He capped off the regular season averaging 8.9 rebounds per game over the final 8 games, grabbing double-digit boards 4 times. We all know Nikola Vucevic is somewhat of a defensive liability and not the most physical center out there, so Bam should be able to impose his will down low. Chicago ranked 29th in opponent total rebounds per game this season, with only the lowly Washington Wizards being worse than them.

Teams have averaged 54.5 rebounds a night against this Chicago team, this gives me added confidence that Adebayo can clear this line. The Heat are well aware they cannot win this game if they get into a running match with the Bulls, so expect them to put their clamps down on the defensive end, where Bam Adebayo will be the main anchor.

Coby White to score 20+ points (-205)

Trading away Zach LaVine has really opened the doors for Coby White to blossom into a real threat on offense. From the start of March to the end of the regular season, White was one of the most consistent offensive players in the league. Over his last 20 games, he averaged 26.1 points per game, and that number would have been a lot higher if it wasn’t for the 2 single-digit games against Philadelphia and OKC, where he attempted a combined 11 field goals.

White should be a lot more aggressive on Wednesday, with the Bulls trying to keep their season alive. In 3 meetings with the Heat, White averaged 20.3 points per game while clearing this line twice. I’m looking for White to make the most out of Miami’s struggles guarding the three-ball here – they’re allowing 39.6% of threes to go in over their last 3 games. For a bet that’s cashed 16 times in 20 games, we are getting really solid odds here.

Matas Buzelis 2+ made threes (-130)

To cap off our Heat vs Bulls Same Game Parlay, we have rookie Matas Buzelis knocking down a pair of threes. I was actually pleasantly surprised this bet is priced at -130 odds, considering how well Buzelis has shot the ball lately. That might be because he’s just an unproven rookie, but I have full faith in him making a name for himself in this game.

Buzelis has done extremely well in games against the Miami Heat this season, torching them for an average of 18 points per game in 3 meetings while shooting 69% from the field and 57.1% from three. Shooting is all this man does – after averaging 35.4% makes from downtown in March, he upped it to 50% in April on exactly 2 makes per game. This bet has cashed in 10 of his last 12 games, and I’m confident Buzelis can continue this solid run on Wednesday.

Filip Tomic
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