HomeNBANBA PredictionsMemphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Odds and Picks

Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 04/22/25

Updated: 10:52 AM ET Apr 22, 2025

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Grizzlies

7:30 PM ETToday

Thunder

WLLWL	Last 5	WWWWW
0-1	Record	1-0
41-42-0	ATS Record	55-25-3
48-35	O/U Record	45-38

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Grizzlies vs Thunder Pickswise Expert Predictions

NBA

Game Totals Pick

Over 228.5(-110)MEM Grizzlies @ OKC Thunder

Reasoning

The Memphis Grizzlies had a shocking night offensively in Game 1 of the series, putting up just 80 points. It was the first time this season that the Thunder held them to under 100 points. Part of the reason why they struggled was their inability to make three-pointers, making just 6 in the game on 17.6% shooting. Considering they had been making 36.7% of their shots from beyond the arc on the season, do not expect them to struggle the same way again in Game 2. After all, the Grizzlies finished the season ranked 6th in offensive rating. Look for them to have a bounce-back performance here.

The Thunder have, however, figured out how to score on Memphis consistently. The 131 points they put up marked the 5th time this season that they have managed at least 120 against the Grizzlies. Those opportunities should be here tonight too. On the season, these teams ranked 1st and 5th in pace, meaning there should be no shortage of possessions for either side. The hosts have also had some issues closing out possessions this season, finishing the regular season 24th in opponent second-chance points per game. Look for someone like Zach Edey to be able to take advantage of this. He had 4 offensive rebounds in the opening game and with more minutes he should be able to build on that performance here. If the Thunder continue to roll against the Grizzlies like they have all season, expect the visitors to be able to do enough here to help the over hit.

Grizzlies vs Thunder prediction: Over 228.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 229.5.

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Germantas Kneita

Show Bio

Like most Lithuanians, I started watching basketball from the age of six. I'm based out in London and played basketball at the University of Lincoln here in the UK. I had always had an interest in the NBA but things really took off in the summer of 2010. That year Linas Kleiza led Lithuania to 3rd place at the World Championships and signed with the Toronto Raptors to replace the departing Chris Bosh. I've been a Raptors fan since that day and I've not missed a game since. I've been handicapping games for more than a decade, specializing in player props. For Germantas Kneita media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.

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Same Game Parlay

Player Threes Made

S. Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) - Over 1.5 threes

Player Double-Double

J. Morant (MEM) to record a double-double

Reasoning

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 2+ made threes (-180)

Believe it or not, SGA had his worst shooting performance of the entire season in the series opener against the Grizzlies, as he went just 4-for-13 from the field and made just 1 of 7 three-point attempts. The Thunder still won by 51 points, which just shows how talented and deep this team really is. I’m looking at the likely regular-season MVP to bounce back here, especially when it comes to shooting the ball.

His three-ball has made a huge leap in efficiency compared to previous years, going from 35.3% in 2023-24 to 37.5% this season, which is his 2nd-most efficient season shooting the three-point shot. He also finished the season averaging a career-high 2.1 makes per game from downtown, while in his last 20 games, he’s cleared this line 15 times. The Grizzlies’ defense in that series opener was a complete mess, as the Thunder players attempted 48 threes while making 17 of them. It’s hard to imagine all of their flaws will be fixed just 2 days later, so I’m expecting SGA to leave his mark on this game. He’s cleared this line twice in the last 4 meetings — make it 3 times in 5 tonight.

Ja Morant to record a double-double (+550)

There’s no other way of saying it, the Grizzlies got absolutely destroyed in the series opener over the weekend and now it’s time for them to respond. They were on the back end of the 5th-largest margin of victory in NBA postseason history, and if that doesn’t light a fire under the likes of Ja Morant and company then I don’t know what will. Morant played just 26 minutes in that game, recording a pedestrian 17 points and just 4 assists. After the game he said “we’ll never play this bad again” and now it is time to back up those words.

On paper, this bet might look like a long shot at +550 odds, but when you think about it it’s not that unrealistic at all. Morant can score at least 10 points in his sleep, so it all comes down to him getting his teammates involved. He was close to getting 10 assists in the play-in win over Dallas but the meter stopped at 9 with him logging 33 minutes of play. The last time he made the postseason with this team, Morant had a pair of double-doubles in the first-round series against the Lakers back in 2022-23. The season before that, the Grizz went up against Minnesota in the first round and Morant had 5 double-doubles in 6 games.

This is the moment of truth for the Grizzlies, as keeping things close or somehow getting a win here would do wonders for their confidence with the series moving to Memphis for the next 2 games. I expect Morant to show up in a big way here.

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Filip Tomic

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Grizzlies vs Thunder Same Game Parlay

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Money Line

The Thunder have won 4 of their last 5 games at home against Western Conference Southwest Division teams.

Game Totals

6 of the Thunder's last 7 home matchups against the Grizzlies have stayed Under the total.

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