HomeNBANBA PredictionsLos Angeles Lakers vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Odds and Picks

Los Angeles Lakers vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Odds and Picks for Thursday, 03/13/25

Updated: 2:13 PM ET Mar 13, 2025

fiserv.forumTNT

40-23

Lakers

7:30 PM ETYesterday

36-28

Bucks

Vote on who will cover the spread!

Lakers vs Bucks Pickswise Expert Predictions

NBA

Point Spread Pick

MIL Bucks -6.0(-110)LA Lakers @ MIL Bucks

Reasoning

With 19 games remaining the Lakers have the 3rd hardest remaining strength of schedule and with the current injury situation they are dealing with, things could get rowdy in these next couple of weeks. LeBron James is expected back some time next week, joining him on the sidelines will be Jaxson Hayes, Rui Hachimura and Maxi Kleber. Luka Doncic is also struggling with a back issue, he was held to a pedestrian 8-for-26 shooting in the loss to Brooklyn the other day. The main worry for head coach JJ Redick here is the lack of size on the interior for the Lakers. Even when they had Anthony Davis they struggled to contain Giannis Antetokounmpo down low, with all these injuries their current rim protectors are Alex Len and Trey Jemison III.

Losing 3 straight to teams that are in the upper tier of the Eastern Conference has us doubting the Milwaukee Bucks once again. Giannis and co. suffered a heartbreaking loss in Indiana the other day, with a late three-pointer by Tyrese Haliburton plus a foul burying them on the road. They’re back at Fiserv Forum for this one, so far in 33 games they’ve won 22 of them at home. From a bettors perspective they’re 11-4 ATS in their last 15 at Fiserv Forum, plus against Western Conference opponents they’ve won 5 of 6 games. Their injuries situation is a lot better than the Lakers’ is, but the Bucks have issues like scoring the three-ball and turnovers to fix ahead of this game.

Unless Doncic goes nuclear here, the Lakers are just too shorthanded for me to have a chance in this game. They simply lack the interior presence to deal with Giannis, while Lillard bombs them from the outside. It might not be the prettiest games to watch, but I’m confident in the Bucks here. Back them to cover.

Lakers vs Bucks prediction: Bucks -6 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Filip Tomic

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Long-time NBA fan, following the game closely for 21 years now. Joined the Pickswise writing staff for the 2020-21 season and have given out winning picks since. Hopefully we can make some money together! Oh, and I firmly believe Lebron James is not one of the two best basketball players of all time. Yeah, I said it. For Filip Tomic media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.

Same Game Parlay

Player Assists O/U

L. Doncic (LAL) - 10+ assists

Player Rebounds

G. Antetokounmpo (MIL) - 12+ rebs

Player Rebounds

J. Vanderbilt (LAL) - 6+ rebs

Reasoning

Luka Doncic to record 10+ assists (+144)

Luka and the rest of the Lakers were a massive disappointment in their loss to Brooklyn on Monday, but despite the poor shooting night, Doncic was still able to get 12 assists out of that game. He’s been distributing the ball at a high clip over his last 4 games, dishing out double-digit dimes in 3 of those. That’s increased his average to 9.1 per game in his last 8 with the Lakers, giving me added confidence that he will do a good job getting his teammates involved here. He has to, otherwise the Lakers could be in for a long night.

LA is currently down a few very important players, including LeBron James, who is responsible for quite a lot of ball handling and playmaking on offense. Without him, the keys to the offense are solely in Luka’s hands here, so let’s hope he can make the most out of it. Damian Lillard is no match for him defensively, as the last 8 meetings show an average of 32.3 points along with 12.4 assists per game for Doncic.

Giannis Antetokounmpo to record 12+ rebounds (-174)

Although he had a relatively efficient night against the Pacers, Giannis and the Bucks still came up short to lose their 3rd game in a row. The Greek Freak will be kicking himself after he fouled Tyrese Haliburton on a three-point attempt that went in with just seconds remaining. It’s not often we see Antetokounmpo let down his teammates, but with that being the case, I feel like a bounce-back performance is on the cards here as he looks to make amends.

In the loss to Indy, Giannis grabbed 17 rebounds, 15 of them on the defensive end. Injuries have hampered the Lakers’ front line and over their last 3 games we’ve seen them give up 55.3 rebounds per game, which is a significant increase compared to their season average of 51.4. Losing Jaxson Hayes to injury means that Alex Len is the main rim protector and rebounder for the Lakers here, and he just isn’t mobile enough to handle a player like Giannis down low. In 10 head-to-head meetings, Giannis is averaging 11.9 rebounds per game, and the last time they played, he finished with 21 boards.

Jarred Vanderbilt to record 6+ rebounds (-210)

We touched on the Lakers’ rebounding issues earlier but Jarred Vanderbilt is one player on the roster that has been a net positive when it comes to grabbing loose basketballs. With his 6’8″ frame, he is one of the bigger players that the Lakers currently have at their disposal, and they’ll likely rely on him a lot more than they normally do. We’ve seen his minutes go up from 15.3 per game in February to 23 per game in March. Against the Nets and Celtics, he logged 27 and 29 minutes to start this road trip and I expect that to go up to 30+ in tonight’s game with all the injuries.

Vanderbilt has cleared this line 4 times in 5 games while averaging 7.2 rebounds per game. Milwaukee isn’t exactly the best defensive rebounding team in the NBA, as they rank 28th in that department while allowing 34.6 rebounds per game. Just based on injuries alone, I feel like Vanderbilt is in for a productive night here.

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Filip Tomic

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Lakers vs Bucks Same Game Parlay

Top Trends

Point Spread

The Lakers have covered the spread on their last 4 road trips to the Bucks.

Game Totals

4 of the Bucks' last 5 matchups with the Lakers have gone Over the total.

Money Line

The Lakers have won 4 of their last 5 games against teams with winning records.

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