Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Odds and Picks for Sunday, 04/27/25

The Indiana Pacers and Milwaukee Bucks will play a critical Game 4 of their Eastern Conference first-round playoff series on Sunday night in Milwaukee. It has been domination by the home teams so far in this series, with the Pacers taking the first 2 games before the Bucks bounced back with a victory on Friday. Only 1 contest has exceeded this 226 number, but that Game 2 showdown blew past this mark with 238 points and no outing has featured fewer than 215 points. The winning side has put up at least 117 points on all 3 occasions. It is also worth looking back on the regular-season head-to-head series between these 2 squads. The point totals were 246, 242, 229 and 245? That’s right–high-scoring affairs left and right. As such, my Pacers vs Bucks pick is Over 226.

Milwaukee scored 117 in Game 3 even though Damian Lillard has not been able to throw the ball in the ocean through 2 appearances after missing more than a month due to blood clotting (6-for-25 from the floor, 3-for-16 from 3-point range). Every chance Lillard gets to see the floor is an opportunity to improve. You have to think the star guard will be much better on Sunday than he was in either Game 2 or Game 3. It’s only a matter of time before Lillard finds his footing. Giannis Antetokounmpo has contributed at least 34 points in all 3 postseason games so far, so just think how dynamic the offense will be once Lillard returns to being his true self. Both teams rank in the top half of the NBA in pace (possessions per game) and neither one plays much defense, so let’s roll with the over for Game 4.

Pacers vs Bucks prediction: Over 226 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 227.

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