Detroit Pistons vs Charlotte Hornets Prediction, Odds and Picks for Thursday, 11/21/24

The Detroit Pistons and Charlotte Hornets square off in what feels like a coin-flip matchup, with both teams entering the night nearly identical in pace, scoring, and record. The Pistons are slight -1 favorites, a number mirroring their last meeting on November 6th—a game Charlotte won outright. Handicapping trends suggest that when the same line is offered from the previous meeting, the opposite result often follows, giving Detroit a reason to back.

The Hornets, however, boast strong trends in their favor. Charlotte is 14-6 in their last 20 matchups against Detroit, and short-lined underdogs (three points or fewer) are a perfect 5-0 this week ATS. Moreover, short-money line favorites like Detroit (-115) had an unusually high win rate of 67% last week, well above the season average of 43%, and are potentially due for regression. The spread offers no distinct edge, leading us to the total.

Both teams rank in the bottom third of the league in scoring, field goal %, and three-point %—seemingly a recipe for another low-scoring affair. But here’s the catch: Charlotte is 3rd in three-pointers made per game (16.3), while middling at 14th in percentage. This means they take a lot of 3-pointers. Familiarity with Detroit may unlock a sharper shooting night at home in the Spectrum Center. The oddsmakers moved the line from 223 in their first meeting to 221 tonight…it feels like a vulnerable spot for the streak to snap. Call me crazy, but I’m banking on a few extra shots falling tonight in North Carolina.

Pistons vs Hornets Prediction: Over 221 (-108) at the time of publishing, playable at this number.

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