Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Clippers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 04/24/25

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Nuggets
Nuggets
Today
Clippers
Clippers
WWWWL
Last 5
WWWLW
1-1Record1-1
38-45-1ATS Record50-34-0
48-36O/U Record39-45

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Los Angeles Clippers

Nuggets vs Clippers Pickswise Expert Predictions

Denver Nuggets
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
Game Totals Pick
Over 213.5(-110)DEN Nuggets @ LA Clippers

Arguably the best series of the opening round to this point has come in the Western Conference between the Los Angeles Clippers and Denver Nuggets, with both games being decided by one possession. Game 1 finished with a combined 222 points, narrowly going under the total despite going to overtime, while Game 2 also went under the closing total with a combined 207 points. However, instead of going back to the well with an under on Thursday, I’m of the opinion that both teams should benefit from the extra day of rest and this extremely depressed total is just a bit too low for these offenses. 

Given that the Clippers’ defense is one of the best units in the league, the Nuggets should look to push the ball in transition off made or missed shots as much as possible. Over the first couple of games in Denver, the Nuggets were consistently successful when generating early offense, and they should make that a point of emphasis in Game 3. Despite how well the Clippers held up defensively in Game 2, I’m still anticipating a strong game for new head coach David Adelman and the Nuggets offense in the halfcourt setting as well, especially with Jamal Murray (illness) getting an extra day of rest. Nikola Jokic has put up his usual numbers in this series, but the Clippers have forced him into a number of careless mistakes, some of which happened in Game 2. I don’t expect Jokic to have back-to-back underwhelming performances in the postseason, and it helps that he’s been terrific on the road in his playoff career to this point.

On the other side of the ball, while Denver’s defensive effort is markedly improved from where it was in the regular season, this is still a bottom-10 unit in defensive rating, and those woes have particularly shown against high-level competition. That is exactly what the Clippers bring to the table with James Harden and Kawhi Leonard both turning in stellar performances in this series thus far. The Nuggets have not shown an ability to slow down either player, and that’s before Harden gets Ivica Zubac involved in the pick-and-roll game. Ultimately, I’m expecting a slight regression to the mean for Denver’s defense and plenty of efficient halfcourt offense from both sides in a game that should finish closer to 220 total points, much like we saw in Game 1.

Nuggets vs Clippers prediction: Over 213.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Caleb Wilfinger
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Caleb Wilfinger

Deputy Editor for Pickswise with years of experience handicapping and giving out winning picks. Lover of all US sports and Southampton FC. For Caleb Wilfinger media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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Top Trends
Point Spread

The Clippers have covered the spread in 8 of their last 10 games against teams with winning records.

Game Totals

6 of the Nuggets' last 8 road games have gone Over the total.

Money Line

In 3 wins against the Clippers this season, the Nuggets' average winning margin is +15.7.

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