Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction, Odds and Picks for Friday, 03/14/25

The Boston Celtics enter this matchup looking to bounce back after a loss to the Thunder, a scenario where they typically respond well. Despite their injury report consistently being filled with key players like Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, and Al Horford (with Kristaps Porzingis already ruled out), Boston has shown resilience regardless of who takes the floor. On the other side, the Miami Heat are struggling, currently enduring a five-game losing streak and slipping further from true contention without Jimmy Butler. Their offense has been inconsistent, relying heavily on Tyler Herro and Bam Adebayo. For Miami to have a shot at avoiding a third loss to Boston this season, Herro and Adebayo will need to step up on both ends of the floor.

Duncan Robinson is one role player the Celtics must keep an eye on, as he has made 18 three-pointers in his last five games. However, Miami’s offensive struggles are evident, ranking 21st in offensive rating and 18th in net rating over their last 10 games. That’s a tough matchup against a Boston squad that ranks fifth in defensive rating and leads the league in made three-pointers per game. Even if Boston is missing some key pieces, their elite ball movement, up-tempo approach, and ability to exploit Miami’s weaknesses should lead to another comfortable victory. The Heat have struggled against winning teams, going just 8-23 against .500 or better opponents, and the Celtics tend to cover well after a loss (14-4 ATS).

Celtics vs Heat prediction: Boston -8 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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