Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs North Carolina Tar Heels Prediction, Odds and Picks for Saturday, 11/16/24

The North Carolina Tar Heels have been absolutely rolling ever since their bye week, covering the spread by an average margin of 24 points in their last two contests. They take on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons in a matchup that calls for an abundance of points. UNC could very well surpass their 38-point average over the last two weeks against a Wake Forest defense that ranks nearly dead last in FBS in several key categories: 133rd in defensive success rate, 107th in EPA/dropback, 127th in early downs EPA and 127th in red zone defense. The Tar Heels defensive unit has looked better ever since they bye, but their are still a ton of concerning inconsistencies.

UNC ranks 108th in red zone defense, 94th in passing yards allowed per game and has struggled against explosive plays. The Wake Forest offense isn’t exactly reliable either, but the offense put up 36 points against California and 34 points against NC State. This matchup has historically provided fireworks on the scoreboard, going over 63.5 points in 4 of the last 5 meetings. With all things considered, I’ll be taking the over in this matchup.

Over 63.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable up to 64 (-110).