Vanderbilt Commodores vs LSU Tigers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Tomorrow, 11/23/24

The LSU Tigers have dropped 3 straight after a 6-1 start to the season, and Brian Kelly and co. will have to prove their worth against a frisky Vanderbilt squad coming off a bye week. Regardless of the Cinderella-esque season Vanderbilt has had and regardless of LSU’s skid, the Tigers are still the much better team from a talent and coaching standpoint. LSU outplayed Florida in its most recent loss in essentially every offensive category aside from points scored being that the Tigers struggled to finish drives. Vanderbilt’s defense had a rough go last time out against South Carolina and hasn’t been the best at ending drives, ranking 85th in 3rd/4th down success rate defensively and 72nd in red zone defense. 

Furthermore, LSU ranks 11th in EPA/dropback and should have no issue moving the ball against the Commodores’ 106th ranked defense in terms of defensive success rate against the pass. Diego Pavia and the Commodores offense was electric in the upset over Alabama, but the unit hasn’t quite looked the same since averaging just 18.4 points per game in the 5 weeks since. Disregarding the optics of how these two teams’ seasons have panned out, I’ll rely on the Tigers’ talent in Death Valley and take LSU to cover.

LSU -7.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number or better.