Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Iowa State Cyclones Prediction, Odds and Picks for Tomorrow, 11/02/24

The Iowa State Cyclones enter their matchup against the Texas Tech Red Raiders with a perfect 7-0 record coming off a bye week. The visitors, on the other hand, have suffered back-to-back losses in which the defense struggled mightily. Texas Tech QB Behren Morton was banged up against TCU last week but is expected to start, although I still expect the Red Raiders to lean on the run game considering Iowa State’s secondary ranks 1st in defensive passing efficiency and 4th in EPA/dropback. Tahj Brooks has been one of the best running backs in the country this year, but I struggle to see a path for Tech’s offense to keep up with Iowa State in this one.

The Cyclones rank 18th in plays per game while running a high-tempo, well-rounded scheme; they rank top-23 in both EPA/rush and EPA/dropback. The Red Raiders’ defense has been a problem all season, ranking 122nd in opponent points per game (36.0) and 107th in defensive success rate. Coming off a bye with home-field advantage, I like the Cyclones to cover in this spot.

Texas Tech vs Iowa State prediction: Iowa State -12.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to -13.5.

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