Baylor Bears vs Iowa State Cyclones Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 10/05/24

The Baylor Bears and Iowa State Cyclones face off in a Big 12 matchup with a surprisingly low total of 45 set for this contest. The last four meetings between these programs saw the over/under close between 45 and 48.5, and all four times the over has cashed. This is likely due to the fact that Iowa State currently ranks 11th in total defense, but the Cyclones have yet to be tested by a capable offense. Iowa, Houston, Arkansas State and an FCS school aren’t exactly offensive juggernauts. Baylor has proven it can move the ball on offense, posting 31, 28 and 31 points over the last 3 weeks. Furthermore, the Bears rank 14th in pace of play this season.

On the other side of the ball, Baylor’s defense hasn’t been fantastic. The Bears rank 71st in EPA/Rush and 77th in EPA/Dropback on defense while Iowa State ranks 24th and 39th in those same categories. With all things considered, I’ll take the over in this one.

Baylor vs Iowa State prediction: Over 45 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 46.

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