UNC Greensboro Spartans vs Indiana Hoosiers Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 11/21/24

Indiana has scored at least 80 points in each of its’ first three games, but the under is the recommended bet in this matchup with UNC Greensboro. Under Mike Jones, the Spartans have historically played at a slow tempo, as they have ranked outside the top 300 in average offensive possession length in two of three seasons with Jones at the helm. Indiana has really pushed the tempo so far this year, ranking 22nd in average offensive possession length, per KenPom. There are just 21 teams quicker, but UNC Greensboro has played one of them in SMU. In their matchup with SMU, the game finished with 73 possessions and 149 points, but the free throw line played a big role in that. The teams combined to shoot 36/52 from the line, which helped push the game over the total by a single point. With potentially less free throws in this one, the game will have a good chance of staying under.

Lastly, UNC Greensboro’s defensive identity is to protect the paint and the Spartans have ranked in the top 100 of two-point percentage defense each of the last two years. Indiana owns one of the lowest three-point attempt rates in the country, so perhaps the UNC Greensboro defense will do just enough to keep the game under.

Under 146 available at publishing. Playable to Under 145.