Texas A&M Aggies vs Ole Miss Rebels Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 01/22/25

A top 25 showdown will take place in Oxford, Mississippi, where the Texas A&M Aggies will visit the Ole Miss Rebels. Both of these teams are known as dark horse candidates to win the SEC, so this game could go a long way in achieving their goals. The Aggies saw their star guard, Wade Taylor, return to action in their last game against LSU, where they snapped a 2-game losing streak. As for Ole Miss, their undefeated SEC record is now gone after an OT road loss in the “Egg Bowl” against Mississippi State. Despite these teams feeling evenly matched, a case will be made for Ole Miss as a small home favorite.

The turnover battle may be a major factor in this contest, and Ole Miss holds an edge in this category. The Rebels are top 10 nationally in both offensive and defensive turnover rate, led by the sure handed backcourt of Jaylen Murray and Sean Pedulla. The Rebels have ball handlers and scorers all over the floor, and this could make it difficult on a Texas A&M defense that prefers to deny the rim at the cost of giving up jump shots. The Aggies may have no choice but to give the perimeter attack of the Rebels more attention (35.5% from 3), and this could potentially break down their defense.

On the other side of the floor, Chris Beard’s patented no-middle defense can force Texas A&M’s offense away from the rim. This may be troublesome for an Aggie offense that is 306th nationally in 3-point percentage. Having Wade Taylor back in action can ease the pain for the perimeter offense, but this is still a weak point for the Aggies. Texas A&M doesn’t protect the ball particularly well either (156th nationally in TO rate), so if they become stubborn and attempt to get in the lane frequently against the Rebel’s rim denial defense, it could be a long day for their offense. The 1 area of concern in this matchup is the rebound battle, as the Aggies are #1 in the country in offensive rebound rate, while the Rebels rank just 158th nationally in defensive rebound rate.

Besides the potential rebound mismatch, the Rebels matchup very well with the Aggies. The Rebel’s perimeter firepower along with their ability to keep A&M out of the lane defensively can lead them to a win and a cover of the small number at 3.5. Back the Rebels to bounce back at home on Wednesday night.

Texas A&M vs Ole Miss prediction: Ole Miss -3.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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