TCU Horned Frogs vs Houston Cougars Prediction, Odds and Picks for Monday, 01/06/25

Houston has been able to get it done on both sides of the court so far this season, and I don’t think it will have too much trouble against TCU this evening. In the 14th-ranked Cougars’ last game they faced a conference opponent, BYU, that has a prolific offense and was held to just 55 points in the matchup with Houston. As Houston gets ready to take on another Big 12 Conference opponent, I think it is more than capable of getting it done and covering the big spread.

Houston boasts the best defense in all of college basketball, right above Tennessee this season — giving up just 54.6 points per game. Over the several years we have seen Houston’s defense swarm their opponents, forcing them to take shots that aren’t there — but the one thing that has plagued them is their offense. This year the Cougars have been an exceptional offensive team of late. During their last six games they are averaging 75.3 points per game and holding their opponents to just 49.1 points. The 18.5 points that Houston is favored by is a large line to cover against a Big 12 opponent, but the Cougars have proven they are one of the toughest teams to score against and should be able to keep TCU in line — as the Frogs only average 72.4 points per game this season. BYU was averaging 84.8 before heading into their matchup against Houston and was held to just 55 points. TCU also has a strong defense, especially on the perimeter, and likes to move at a slower pace — but so does Houston. I think TCU will play right into this Houston defense’s hands and will turn the ball over a bunch of times. That’s why I think Houston will blow this game open, making it my best bet of the day. 

TCU vs Houston prediction: Houston -18.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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